Match Info

Date: 17 February 2022, Thursday


	Alianza Valledupar		Internacional de Palmira

	1	X	2
	2	3.4	4	Watch
	1.9	3.2	3.9
	1.92	3.1	4.1
	1.99	3.05	3.85
	2.06	3.23	4.2
	1.95	3.1	3.75
	1.98	3.3	3.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.88)	3.2 ↓ (3.22)	3.95 ↑ (3.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alianza Valledupar
47.3%

Draw
29.1%

Internacional de Palmira
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

28.3%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4%

22%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alianza Valledupar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Internacional de Palmira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (+15.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alianza Valledupar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Internacional de Palmira than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Internacional de Palmira, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Alianza Valledupar - Internacional de Palmira Predictions

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Alianza will win (votes: 18 - 50%). Inter Palmira will win (votes: 9 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alianza: 33.7% – 66.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular) and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alianza Petrolera won 0.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Cortuluá could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Alianza Petrolera is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Alianza Petrolera won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Alianza Petrolera won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alianza Valledupar
Colombian Primera A
11.02.22	Atlético Nacional - Alianza Valledupar	0:0 ✺
07.02.22	Alianza Valledupar - Jaguares de Córdoba	2:0 ✺
02.02.22	Atlético Bucaramanga - Alianza Valledupar	2:1 ✺
30.01.22	Alianza Valledupar - Envigado	2:2 ✺
27.01.22	Unión Magdalena - Alianza Valledupar	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 TWLTT
- Internacional de Palmira
Colombian Primera A
12.02.22	Internacional de Palmira - Patriotas	1:0 ✺
08.02.22	Independiente Medellín - Internacional de Palmira	3:1 ✺
04.02.22	Internacional de Palmira - América de Cali	2:0 ✺
29.01.22	Internacional de Palmira - Independiente Santa Fe	1:1 ✺
26.01.22	Jaguares de Córdoba - Internacional de Palmira	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
12.11.17	Internacional de Palmira - Alianza Valledupar	0:0
01.05.17	Alianza Valledupar - Internacional de Palmira	1:2
12.08.16	Internacional de Palmira - Alianza Valledupar	1:0
06.03.16	Alianza Valledupar - Internacional de Palmira	1:1
29.08.15	Internacional de Palmira - Alianza Valledupar	0:0
11.03.15	Alianza Valledupar - Internacional de Palmira	1:1

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