The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Alianza Valledupar 51.2%
Draw 29.8%
Unión Magdalena 19%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.6%
30.7%
20.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.4%
30.2%
20.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza Valledupar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
Unión Magdalena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Magdalena than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
25%
0%
Alianza Valledupar - Unión Magdalena Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Alianza will win (votes: 9 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Alianza: 50.5% – 99.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Chaverra J. (G) 60. Rosales Y. 18. Garcia J. 5. Franco P. (C) 16. Saldana L. 19. Perez L. 23. Mendoza Benitez D. A. 29. Torres E. 33. Fernandez W. 24. Munoz J. 17. Pardo F.
1. Restrepo E. (G) 3. Mera D. 18. Palomeque D. 5. Payares M. 30. Mosquera G. 22. Barreto O. 24. Cantillo F. (C) 10. Sarmiento J. 8. Sanchez V. 33. Vanegas Zuniga O. L. 17. Blanco R.
Substitutes
11. Aponza Cantonil S. A. 7. Castillo J. 6. Figueroa J. 20. Jimenez J. 77. Martinez M. 25. Parra J. 1. Wallens J. (G)
13. Aleman J. 11. Aragon O. 21. Giraldo J. 34. Gomez Tovar G. E. (G) 7. Krame E. 16. Sencion Rodriguez C. E. 27. Trujillo J.
Coaches
Bodhert H.
Pinto J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Munoz J. 🟨,
33', Vanegas Zuniga O. L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Sanchez V. ↓, Sencion Rodriguez C. E. ↑,
52', Palomeque D. 🟨,
59', Blanco R. ↓, Aragon O. ↑,
59', Barreto O. ↓, Giraldo J. ↑,
62', Torres E. ↓, Aponza Cantonil S. A. ↑,
62', Munoz J. ↓, Parra J. ↑,
71', Parra J. 🟨,
73', Cantillo F. ↓, Aleman J. ↑,
73', Sarmiento J. ↓, Krame E. ↑,
74', Perez L. ↓, Jimenez J. ↑,
81', Pardo F. ↓, Martinez M. ↑,
81', Fernandez W. ↓, Castillo J. ↑,
84', Payares M. 🟨,
89', 1 - 0, Parra J. ⚽,
90+2', Giraldo J. 🟨,
Preview
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 18).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Alianza won 2.
Recent matches Alianza is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Unión Magdalena is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recently Alianza have a series of guest games.
In this match Alianza is a favorite.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Alianza won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:7 (average 0.8:0.9).
Including matches at home between the teams Alianza won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:2 (average 1:0.5).
Colombia
Mexico
South-america
Watch
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Chaverra J. (G) 
Fernandez W. 
Sanchez V. 
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