The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Unión Magdalena 33.2%
Draw 34.4%
Deportivo Cali 32.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.4%
31.5%
31%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.4%
31.5%
31%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Unión Magdalena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
Deportivo Cali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Magdalena than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Cali than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
9.1%
90.9%
0%
Unión Magdalena - Deportivo Cali Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Unión Magdalena will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 90.9%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 73.9% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Restrepo E. (G) 3. Mera D. 18. Palomeque D. 5. Payares M. 30. Mosquera G. 24. Cantillo F. 23. Barreto O. 10. Sarmiento J. 8. Sanchez V. 7. Krame E. 17. Blanco R.
38. Rodriguez A. (G) 27. Viafara F. 3. Juan Quintero 12. Caldera Alvis J. C. 26. Gomez Mosquera Y. A. 6. Mejia V. 30. Gordillo Y. 7. Barrera J. 10. Javier Reina 11. Estupinan A. 9. Rodriguez E.
Substitutes
13. Aleman J. 21. Giraldo J. 34. Gomez Tovar G. E. (G) 99. Marquez R. 14. Pinto J. 16. Sencion Rodriguez C. E. 27. Trujillo J.
46. Cabal J. 28. Cabezas G. 18. Cantillo J. 8. Castillo F. 44. Graciano C. 22. Guruceaga G. (G) 42. Venecia I.
Coaches
Pinto J.
Arias A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Rodriguez E. ⚽, Barrera J. (A),
33', Pinto J. 🟨,
33', Pinto J. 🟥,
33', Caldera Alvis J. C. 🟨,
35', 1 - 1, Barreto O. ⚽, Cantillo F. (A),
43', Sarmiento J. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Krame E. ↓, Sencion Rodriguez C. E. ↑,
46', Juan Quintero ↓, Venecia I. ↑,
46', Javier Reina ↓, Cantillo J. ↑,
48', Mejia V. 🟨,
50', Mejia V. ↓, Cabezas G. ↑,
56', Venecia I. 🟨,
58', 2 - 1, Blanco R. (Pen),
61', Blanco R. 🟨,
69', Estupinan A. ↓, Cabal J. ↑,
74', Sanchez V. ↓, Pinto J. ↑,
74', Blanco R. ↓, Marquez R. ↑,
77', Barrera J. ↓, Castillo F. ↑,
83', Sarmiento J. ↓, Aleman J. ↑,
83', Barreto O. ↓, Giraldo J. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 2, Gomez Mosquera Y. A. ⚽, Rodriguez E. (A),
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Unión Magdalena won 1.
Unión Magdalena is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Deportivo Cali is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Deportivo Cali could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Unión Magdalena won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9:12 (average 1.5:2).
Including matches at home between the teams Unión Magdalena won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:6 (average 1.7:2).
Last Results with these Odds
Deportivo Cali - the odds 2.98 are the expected chance of winning is 31.03%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.