Match Info

Date: 25 February 2022, Friday


	Almería		Fuenlabrada

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.2	5.25	Watch
	1.58	3.7	5.25
	1.57	3.9	5.75	Watch
	1.55	3.9	5.6
	1.59	4.11	6.25
				Watch
	1.6	3.94	5.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.64)	3.96 ↑ (3.5)	5.66 ↓ (5.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almería
59.6%

Draw
23.8%

Fuenlabrada
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.3%

26.8%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.3%

21.8%

13%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almería has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Fuenlabrada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almería than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Almería, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fuenlabrada than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
67.6%	27%	5.4%

Almería - Fuenlabrada Predictions

Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Almería will win (votes: 25 - 67.6%). Fuenlabrada will win (votes: 2 - 5.4%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 27%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Almería: 52.5% – 82.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Almería has the most likely position - 1 (32.61%), has project points - 78, has currently - 55, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (38%), has a good chance of promoted (70%), has a chance of win league (33%).

Fuenlabrada has the most likely position - 21 (25.77%), has project points - 41, has currently - 26, has a good chance of relegated (70%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 30, importance 67, match rating 48. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Almería is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Almería won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Almería won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Almería
Spanish LaLiga2
20.02.22	Almería - Mirandés	2:1 ✺
12.02.22	Málaga - Almería	0:1 ✺
04.02.22	Almería - Ibiza	2:0 ✺
29.01.22	Real Oviedo - Almería	2:0 ✺
24.01.22	Almería - Eibar	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWLL
- CF Fuenlabrada
Spanish LaLiga2
20.02.22	Fuenlabrada - Alcorcón	2:2 ✺
13.02.22	Eibar - Fuenlabrada	0:0 ✺
06.02.22	Fuenlabrada - Valladolid	0:0 ✺
30.01.22	Cartagena - Fuenlabrada	3:0 ✺
22.01.22	Fuenlabrada - Las Palmas	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
04.12.21	Fuenlabrada - Almería	1:1
06.02.21	Fuenlabrada - Almería	1:1
24.10.20	Almería - Fuenlabrada	3:0
22.02.20	Almería - Fuenlabrada	0:0
15.12.19	Fuenlabrada - Almería	2:2

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