Match Info

Date: 4 February 2022, Friday


	Almería		Ibiza

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.8	5	Watch
	1.66	3.7	4.4
	1.7	3.7	4.9	Watch
	1.66	3.6	5
	1.7	3.88	5.4
	1.83	3.3	4.5	Watch
	1.68	3.84	5.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (2.01)	3.69 ↑ (3.22)	4.91 ↑ (3.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Almería
55.3%

Draw
25.5%

Ibiza
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

29.2%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

19.8%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almería has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Almería's performance.

Ibiza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almería than the current prediction. (-23.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Almería that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ibiza than the current prediction. (+16.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ibiza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.5%	8.5%	22%

Almería - Ibiza Predictions

Users Predictions: 82 users predict this event. Almería will win (votes: 57 - 69.5%). Ibiza will win (votes: 18 - 22%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 8.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Almería: 59.5% – 79.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 10).

Almería has the most likely position - 2 (23.19%), has project points - 74, has currently - 46, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (47%), has a good chance of promoted (56%), has a chance of win league (22%).

Ibiza has the most likely position - 12 (8.75%), has project points - 57, has currently - 35, has a very small chance of relegated (3%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (12%), has a very small chance of promoted (4%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Almería has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ibiza is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Almería is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Almería won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Almería
Spanish LaLiga2
29.01.22	Real Oviedo - Almería	2:0 ✺
24.01.22	Almería - Eibar	0:2 ✺
19.01.22	Lugo - Almería	2:1 ✺
09.01.22	Las Palmas - Almería	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
06.01.22	Almería - Elche	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLTL
- UD Ibiza
Spanish LaLiga2
31.01.22	Ibiza - Zaragoza	2:2 ✺
22.01.22	Málaga - Ibiza	0:5 ✺
Club Friendly
13.01.22	Ibiza - Peña Deportiva	1:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
08.01.22	Ibiza - Alcorcón	6:2 ✺
02.01.22	Fuenlabrada - Ibiza	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
14.11.21	Ibiza - Almería	0:1

Upcoming Matches