Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 42

Date: 1 June 2025, Sunday

Location: UD Almería Stadium (Almería)

Referee: Ais S. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus
Asia	beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean
Peru	DirecTV Sports
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar+ Lite
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter


	Almería		Tenerife

	1	X	2
	1.33	5	8.5	Watch
	1.25	5.75	9.25
	1.34	4.9	8.2	Watch
	1.33	5.09	9.25
	1.36	4.89	9.13	Watch
	1.29	5	10
	1.34	5.05	8.93	Watch
	1.34	4.9	8.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.54)	5.07 ↑ (4.2)	8.93 ↑ (5.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almería
71%

Draw
18.5%

Tenerife
10.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.2%

22.4%

16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3%

22%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almería has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Almería's performance.

Tenerife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tenerife might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almería than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Almería that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tenerife than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tenerife could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.8%	4.1%	4.1%

Almería - Tenerife Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH +1.25 - Tenerife (2.01) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Almería (1.48) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Almería will win (45 of 49 users predict this - 91.84%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.17% – 99.51%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Almería will win (23 of 23 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 28 Selected Experts predict this event. Almería (votes: 26 - 92.9%). Tenerife (votes: 2 - 7.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Martinez F. (G) 18. Pubill M. 21. Chumi (C) 3. Gonzalez E. 20. Centelles A. 6. Lopy D. 23. Clua Oya S. 12. Leo Baptistao 11. Arribas S. 2. Puigmal A. 9. Suarez L.	1. Carrasco S. (G) 22. Mellot J. 12. Landazuri A. 5. Gonzalez S. 2. Rodriguez D. 16. Sanz A. (C) 11. Cruz Luismi 15. Bodiger Y. 8. Diarra Y. 33. Martin Luis A. 20. Mesa M.
Substitutes
28. Fettal R. 38. Fidel Cedillo Segura P. 4. Kaiky 24. Langa B. 7. Lazaro 19. Marezi 1. Maximiano L. (G) 10. Melamed N. 8. Melero G. 36. Perovic M. 17. Pozo A. 16. Radovanovic A.	25. Badia E. (G) 19. Cantero A. 18. Enric 32. Fernandez D. 24. Jose Amo 3. Medrano F. 7. Padilla J. 9. Rodriguez A. 21. Teto A.
Coaches
Rubi	Cervera A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Puigmal A. ⚽, Arribas S. (A),
18', Landazuri A. ↓, Medrano F. ↑,
28', Martin Luis A. 🟨,
33', Medrano F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Cruz Luismi 🟨,
53', Sanz A. 🟨,
58', 2 - 0, Arribas S. ⚽,
59', Clua Oya S. ↓, Melero G. ↑,
59', Puigmal A. ↓, Melamed N. ↑,
62', Cruz Luismi ↓, Enric ↑,
62', Sanz A. ↓, Cantero A. ↑,
63', Mesa M. ↓, Fernandez D. ↑,
68', Lopy D. 🟨,
71', Carrasco S. 🟨,
76', Martin Luis A. ↓, Teto A. ↑,
79', Leo Baptistao ↓, Lazaro ↑,
80', Suarez L. ↓, Marezi ↑,
87', Lopy D. ↓, Fidel Cedillo Segura P. ↑,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Tenerife is Relegated to

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almería won 5.

Almería is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Tenerife's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Tenerife may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Almería is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Almería: Baba I. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Tenerife: Jose Amo (Knee Injury) Leon J. (Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Almería won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:12. (average 1.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Almería won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.4:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Almería
Spanish LaLiga2
25.05.25	Mirandés - Almería	0:0 ✺
18.05.25	Almería - Racing Santander	2:0 ✺
09.05.25	Cádiz - Almería	2:1 ✺
04.05.25	Almería - Eldense	5:0 ✺
29.04.25	Almería - Ferrol	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TWLWW
- CD Tenerife
Spanish LaLiga2
25.05.25	Tenerife - Real Oviedo	0:1 ✺
17.05.25	Cartagena - Tenerife	1:0 ✺
11.05.25	Tenerife - Ferrol	0:0 ✺
04.05.25	Levante - Tenerife	1:1 ✺
27.04.25	Tenerife - Eibar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
24.08.24	Tenerife - Almería	0:1
21.03.22	Tenerife - Almería	0:1
24.09.21	Almería - Tenerife	3:1
07.05.21	Tenerife - Almería	0:1
26.11.20	Almería - Tenerife	2:0
04.07.20	Almería - Tenerife	1:2
30.11.19	Tenerife - Almería	1:3

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