Match Info

Copa del Rey - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Riazor (La Coruña)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Croatia	Arena Sport 4
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hungary	Sport 2
Israel	Sport 4
Italy	DAZN Italia
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
Portugal	Sport TV7
Saudi-arabia	Shahid
Serbia	Arena Premium 5
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3
Spain	LaLiga TV Bar 2, M+ LaLiga 2
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Deportivo A Coruña		Mallorca

	1	X	2
	2.32	3.2	2.95	Watch
	2.32	3.15	2.98
	2.41	3.27	3.14
	2.62	2.91	2.95	Watch
	2.4	3	2.9	Watch
	2.5	3.22	3.12	Watch
	2.4	3.14	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (2.47)	3.13 ↑ (3.13)	3.01 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo A Coruña
38.7%

Draw
30%

Mallorca
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

29%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

29.2%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo A Coruña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Mallorca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo A Coruña than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mallorca than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
24%	44%	32%

Deportivo A Coruña - Mallorca Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Deportivo will win (votes: 6 - 27.3%). Mallorca will win (votes: 6 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 24.7% – 66.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportivo (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Mallorca (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 8 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Puerto E. (G) 4. Noubi L. 3. Comas A. 5. Barcia D. 12. Quagliata G. 11. Mella D. 8. Villares D. (C) 16. Gragera J. 35. Lopez R. 17. Herrera C. 7. Mulattieri S.	13. Bergstrom L. (G) 2. Morey Bauza M. 27. Lopez D. 4. Kumbulla M. 3. Lato T. 6. Sanchez A. 12. Samu Costa 20. Torre P. 11. Asano T. 9. Prats A. (C) 19. Llabres J.
Substitutes
37. Carillo N. 19. Cruz Luismi 9. Eddahchouri Z. 10. Hernandez Y. 32. Nsongo B. 1. Parreno G. (G) 6. Patino C. 21. Soriano M. 22. Stoichkov 38. Teijo Q.	10. Darder S. 30. Domenech M. 18. Joseph M. 23. Maffeo P. 7. Muriqi V. 21. Raillo A. 1. Roman L. (G) 26. Salhi I. 24. Valjent M. 17. Virgili J.
Coaches
Hidalgo A.	Arrasate J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Lopez D. ↓, Valjent M. ↑,
61', Mella D. ↓, Cruz Luismi ↑,
62', Lopez R. ↓, Soriano M. ↑,
69', Mulattieri S. ↓, Stoichkov ↑,
69', Herrera C. ↓, Nsongo B. ↑,
71', Lato T. ↓, Maffeo P. ↑,
71', Torre P. ↓, Darder S. ↑,
80', Villares D. ↓, Carillo N. ↑,
82', Morey Bauza M. ↓, Salhi I. ↑,
82', Llabres J. ↓, Virgili J. ↑,
85', 1 - 0, Carillo N. ⚽,
90+2', Barcia D. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Deportivo won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:8. (average 1.4:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 1.6:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo A Coruña
Spanish LaLiga2
13.12.25	Deportivo A Coruña - Real Sociedad B	0:3 ✺
07.12.25	Deportivo A Coruña - Castellón	1:3 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.25	Sabadell - Deportivo A Coruña	0:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
29.11.25	Albacete Balompié - Deportivo A Coruña	0:2 ✺
23.11.25	Deportivo A Coruña - Ceuta	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLWWW
- RCD Mallorca
Spanish LaLiga
13.12.25	Mallorca - Elche	3:1 ✺
05.12.25	Real Oviedo - Mallorca	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
02.12.25	Numancia - Mallorca	2:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
29.11.25	Mallorca - Osasuna	2:2 ✺
22.11.25	Villarreal - Mallorca	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
23.06.19	Mallorca - Deportivo A Coruña	3:0
20.06.19	Deportivo A Coruña - Mallorca	2:0
27.05.19	Deportivo A Coruña - Mallorca	1:0
12.01.19	Mallorca - Deportivo A Coruña	1:0
20.04.14	Mallorca - Deportivo A Coruña	0:3
17.11.13	Deportivo A Coruña - Mallorca	3:1
Spanish LaLiga
31.03.13	Mallorca - Deportivo A Coruña	2:3

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