Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 21

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio de Gran Canaria (Las Palmas)

Referee: Perez M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, StarTimes App
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 5, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Malaysia	beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 1
Serbia	Arena Sport 8
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	Voyo
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
Turkey	S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Las Palmas		Deportivo A Coruña

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.2	4.2	Watch
	2.05	3.05	3.75	Watch
	2.03	3.22	4.01	Watch
	2	3.2	3.75
	1.93	3.23	4.47	Watch
	1.96	3.14	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.19)	3.17 ↑ (3.12)	4.06 ↑ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Las Palmas
47.4%

Draw
29.6%

Deportivo A Coruña
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

29.6%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

28.6%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Las Palmas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Las Palmas's performance.

Deportivo A Coruña has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo A Coruña might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo A Coruña than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.3%	13.3%	13.3%

Las Palmas - Deportivo A Coruña Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Las Palmas will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Deportivo will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Las Palmas: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportivo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Las Palmas (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Las Palmas (votes: 1 - 50%). Deportivo (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Horkas D. (G) 17. Viti 6. Sergio Barcia 3. Marmol M. 23. Gutierrez C. 14. Fuster M. 16. Amatucci L. 12. Loiodice E. 24. Pejino 21. Viera J. (C) 10. Jese	24. Fernandez A. (G) 2. Altimira A. 4. Noubi L. 3. Comas A. 12. Quagliata G. 11. Mella D. 21. Soriano M. 8. Villares D. (C) 10. Hernandez Y. 19. Cruz Luismi 22. Stoichkov
Substitutes
4. Alex Suarez 7. Benedetti N. 13. Caro J. (G) 18. Cedeno E. 22. Garcia A. 8. Gil I. 26. Gonzalez I. 15. Herzog J. 25. Lukovic M. 39. Pedrola E. 27. Pezzolesi V. 35. Suarez A. (G)	5. Barcia D. 9. Eddahchouri Z. 27. Fernandez S. 16. Gragera J. 20. Jurado J. 35. Lopez R. 7. Mulattieri S. 32. Nsongo B. 1. Parreno G. (G) 6. Patino C. 13. Puerto E. (G)
Coaches
Garcia L.	Hidalgo A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Villares D. ⚽,
31', Viera J. (Penalty Awarded),
43', 1 - 1, Jese ⚽, Amatucci L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Pejino ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
52', Cruz Luismi ↓, Jurado J. ↑,
62', Garcia A. 🟨,
66', Viera J. ↓, Gil I. ↑,
67', Jese ↓, Pedrola E. ↑,
68', Stoichkov ↓, Eddahchouri Z. ↑,
73', Altimira A. 🟨,
77', Fuster M. 🟨,
83', Villares D. ↓, Patino C. ↑,
83', Hernandez Y. ↓, Mulattieri S. ↑,
83', Gutierrez C. ↓, Alex Suarez ↑,
88', Fuster M. ↓, Benedetti N. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Las Palmas won 2.

Las Palmas has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Deportivo has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Deportivo has had a series of home games.

Las Palmas is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Las Palmas: Benedetti N. (Inactive) Clemente E. (Yellow Cards) Ramirez S. (Knee Injury) Recoba J. (Knee Injury) Rodriguez K. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Deportivo: Escudero S. (Muscle Injury) Loureiro M. (Yellow Cards) Navarro X. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Deportivo: Bachmann D. (Injury)

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Las Palmas won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:23. (average 1.4:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Las Palmas won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1.1:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Las Palmas	8	3	2	3	12:13	-1	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Las Palmas
Spanish LaLiga2
04.01.26	Zaragoza - Las Palmas	1:2 ✺
20.12.25	Las Palmas - Leonesa	4:0 ✺
14.12.25	Ceuta - Las Palmas	1:1 ✺
08.12.25	Las Palmas - Mirandés	0:0 ✺
30.11.25	Castellón - Las Palmas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWTTL
- Deportivo A Coruña
Spanish LaLiga2
04.01.26	Deportivo A Coruña - Cádiz	2:2 ✺
20.12.25	FC Andorra - Deportivo A Coruña	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
16.12.25	Deportivo A Coruña - Mallorca	1:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
13.12.25	Deportivo A Coruña - Real Sociedad B	0:3 ✺
07.12.25	Deportivo A Coruña - Castellón	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
01.02.20	Deportivo A Coruña - Las Palmas	2:1
13.10.19	Las Palmas - Deportivo A Coruña	3:0
10.03.19	Deportivo A Coruña - Las Palmas	0:1
03.11.18	Las Palmas - Deportivo A Coruña	1:1
Spanish LaLiga
17.03.18	Deportivo A Coruña - Las Palmas	1:1
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.11.17	Las Palmas - Deportivo A Coruña	2:3
Spanish LaLiga
30.10.17	Las Palmas - Deportivo A Coruña	1:3

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