Match Info

WORLD: CLUB FRIENDLY

Date: 3 December 2022, Saturday


	Almería		Sturm Graz

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.6	3.4	2.25
	2.8	3.6	2.1
	2.6	3.35	2.29
	2.65	3.47	2.35
	2.62	3.25	2.38	Watch
	2.6	3.48	2.38	Watch
	2.7	3.5	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 (2.65)	3.44 ↓ (3.62)	2.3 ↑ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almería
34.2%

Draw
26.4%

Sturm Graz
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

25.1%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

24.6%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almería has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Sturm Graz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almería than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (+2%)

Almería - Sturm Graz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Sturm could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Sturm have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Almería
Spanish Copa del Rey
13.11.22	Arenteiro - Almería	2:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
09.11.22	Almería - Getafe	1:0 ✺
05.11.22	Barcelona - Almería	2:0 ✺
29.10.22	Almería - Celta de Vigo	3:1 ✺
23.10.22	Villarreal - Almería	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWLWL
- Sturm Graz
Club Friendly
25.11.22	Admira - Sturm Graz	0:4 ✺
18.11.22	Domžale - Sturm Graz	2:3 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
13.11.22	LASK Linz - Sturm Graz	1:1 ✺
06.11.22	Rheindorf Altach - Sturm Graz	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
03.11.22	Midtjylland - Sturm Graz	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WWTTL

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