Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 16

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento (Isidro Casanova)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Almirante Brown		Colón

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.65	3	Watch
	2.72	2.68	2.92	Watch
	2.89	2.8	2.89
	2.97	2.48	3.03	Watch
	2.8	2.5	2.9
	2.72	2.59	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↓ (2.91)	2.62 ↑ (2.61)	2.92 ↑ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almirante Brown
33%

Draw
35.4%

Colón
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

35.8%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

36.7%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almirante Brown has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Colón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almirante Brown than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colón than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	75%	0%

Almirante Brown - Colón Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Almirante Brown will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Galvan B. (G) 4. Velurtas P. 5. Jara L. 6. Cabral G. 2. Levi M. 3. Fernandez R. 7. Gonzalez R. 9. Martinez E. 8. Altamirano G. 10. Almada T. 11. Bazan N.	1. Budino M. (G) 4. Peinipil M. 2. Barrios P. 6. Rasmussen F. 3. Allende L. 5. Lertora F. 8. Antonio I. 11. Marcioni J. 7. Sarmiento D. 10. Lago I. 9. Bonansea A.
Substitutes
16. Abreliano M. 12. Bottini A. (G) 14. Cardozo E. 20. Moreyra G. 17. Quignon F. 19. Vega L. 15. Velazquez J. 18. Vera S. 13. Villoldo T.	17. Beltran E. 14. Cano L. 16. Godoy M. 19. Ibarra C. 20. Munoz M. 13. Olmedo S. 12. Paredes T. (G) 18. Thaller N. 15. Toledo A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Bazan N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', Sarmiento D. ↓, Godoy M. ↑,
58', Marcioni J. ↓, Ibarra C. ↑,
60', Almada T. ↓, Abreliano M. ↑,
67', Allende L. ↓, Cano L. ↑,
74', Martinez E. ↓, Vera S. ↑,
75', 1 - 1, Peinipil M. ⚽, Ibarra C. (A),
80', Altamirano G. ↓, Vega L. ↑,
80', Gonzalez R. ↓, Moreyra G. ↑,
80', Bazan N. ↓, Quignon F. ↑,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almirante Brown won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 0.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Almirante Brown won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Almirante Brown - the odds 2.91 are the expected chance of winning is 32.1%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Almirante Brown
Argentinian Primera Nacional
23.05.26	San Miguel - Almirante Brown	1:0 ✺
16.05.26	Almirante Brown - San Telmo	0:0 ✺
10.05.26	Acassuso - Almirante Brown	0:0 ✺
03.05.26	Almirante Brown - Chaco For Ever	1:0 ✺
28.04.26	Ferro Carril Oeste - Almirante Brown	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LTTWW
- CA Colón
Argentinian Primera Nacional
24.05.26	Colón - Mitre	1:1 ✺
16.05.26	Estudiantes de Caseros - Colón	1:1 ✺
10.05.26	Colón - All Boys	3:2 ✺
02.05.26	Los Andes - Colón	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Colón - Godoy Cruz	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
13.07.25	Colón - Almirante Brown	1:0
09.03.25	Almirante Brown - Colón	2:0
07.07.24	Almirante Brown - Colón	0:0
18.02.24	Colón - Almirante Brown	2:1

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