The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Almirante Brown 30.4%
Draw 34.4%
Deportivo Morón 35.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
37.1%
35.2%
27.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38%
34.7%
27.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Almirante Brown has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Almirante Brown's form might have worsened.
Deportivo Morón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Morón's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almirante Brown than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Almirante Brown, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Morón than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Morón, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Almirante Brown - Deportivo Morón Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Galvan B. (G) 4. Velurtas P. 2. Cardozo E. 6. Cabral G. 3. Alegre Rojas G. 8. Villoldo T. 5. Gauna S. 11. Santiago M. 10. Pascual L. 7. Abreliano M. 9. Zanotti M.
1. Salva J. (G) 4. Flores F. 2. Salvareschi B. 6. Lazza E. 3. Livera J. 8. Kubiszyn S. 5. Burruchaga M. 11. Bittolo M. 10. Fagundez F. 7. Berterame G. 9. Contreras E.
Substitutes
12. Bottini A. (G) 16. Gonzalez R. 18. Jara L. 13. Levi M. 17. Martinez E. 15. Moreyra G. 14. Velazquez J. 19. Villalba S. 20. Zarate T.
18. Benitez M. 13. Cardozo L. 12. Diaz F. (G) 19. Esquivel J. 17. Franco E. 16. Gonzalez M. 14. Iniguez E. 20. Levato M. 15. Vaquero I. M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Santiago M. ⚽, Cabral G. (A),
29', Kubiszyn S. 🟨,
37', Alegre Rojas G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Zanotti M. ↓, Martinez E. ↑,
46', Contreras E. ↓, Levato M. ↑,
54', Salvareschi B. 🟨,
62', Flores F. ↓, Iniguez E. ↑,
68', Lazza E. 🟨,
73', Bittolo M. ↓, Benitez M. ↑,
81', Pascual L. ↓, Villalba S. ↑,
81', Abreliano M. ↓, Gonzalez R. ↑,
82', Burruchaga M. ↓, Esquivel J. ↑,
82', Berterame G. ↓, Franco E. ↑,
88', Santiago M. ↓, Velazquez J. ↑,
88', Gauna S. ↓, Jara L. ↑,
90+7', Gonzalez R. 🟨,
90+8', Jara L. 🟨,
Preview
Almirante Brown is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs ).
Deportivo Morón is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs ).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almirante Brown won 1.
The recent form of both sides has fallen below expectations.
Almirante Brown could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Almirante Brown has recorded 1 win, 7 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 13:18 (averaging 1:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Almirante Brown against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, with 7:9 goals (averaging 1:1.3 per game).
Watch
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Galvan B. (G) 
Fagundez F. 
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