Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 4

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior (Rio Maior)

Referee: Branco Godinho L. M. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
Portugal	Sport TV2
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Casa Pia		Moreirense

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.00	2.82	Watch
	2.60	3.10	2.75
	2.60	3.10	2.80	Watch
	2.73	3.08	2.99
	2.79	3.1	2.69	Watch
	2.60	3.00	2.95
	2.68	3.10	2.99
	2.60	3.10	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.14)	3.07 ↓ (3.34)	2.86 ↓ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casa Pia
35.9%

Draw
30.9%

Moreirense
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

28.3%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casa Pia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Casa Pia's form might have worsened.

Moreirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Moreirense's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	60%	20%

Casa Pia - Moreirense Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Casa Pia will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Moreirense will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Gomes A. (G) 18. Geraldes A. (C) 4. Goulart J. 43. Sousa D. 75. Rosas P. 16. Clua S. 80. Ofori L. 19. Prieto K. 70. Rego J. 10. Rochinha 20. Jatta A.	13. Ferreira A. (G) 76. Pinto D. 66. Batista G. 26. Maracas (C) 27. Kiko 23. John N. 65. Guilherme Liberato 7. Mendonca M. 20. Veloso J. 11. Landerson 9. Duville-Parsemain A.
Substitutes
9. Araujo H. 90. Cassiano 5. Conte A. 59. Dafe A. 8. Gabi 98. JP 3. Kaly 95. Mandic I. (G) 99. Mendes C. 77. Pauwels B. 24. Perez S. 21. Zouin A.	19. Andrade T. 1. Aranha (G) 10. Bondoso K. 4. Kevyn Monteiro 17. Martinez A. 21. Rodri 2. Santos L. 8. Stjepanovic M. 89. Vieira A. 99. Yan Maranhao
Coaches
Coelho F.	Costa V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Kiko ⚽, Veloso J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Rochinha ↓, Dafe A. ↑,
61', Rosas P. 🟨,
61', Prieto K. ↓, Cassiano ↑,
62', Kiko 🟨,
65', John N. ↓, Rodri ↑,
65', Landerson ↓, Andrade T. ↑,
71', Rodri 🟨,
75', Aranha 🟨,
77', Kiko ↓, Santos L. ↑,
78', Clua S. ↓, Perez S. ↑,
78', Mendonca M. ↓, Stjepanovic M. ↑,
78', Rego J. ↓, Pauwels B. ↑,
78', Jatta A. ↓, Araujo H. ↑,
82', Veloso J. ↓, Kevyn Monteiro ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Casa Pia won 1.

Moreirense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Casa Pia might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Moreirense: Janderson (Injury) Yan Maranhao (Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Casa Pia won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Casa Pia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Moreirense	8	2	2	4	8:15	-7	8
17	Casa Pia	8	1	1	6	3:17	-14	4

Last Results with these Odds

Moreirense - the odds 3.45 are the expected chance of winning is 27.43%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Casa Pia
Liga Portugal
24.08.26	Gil Vicente - Casa Pia	2:0 ✺
17.08.26	Casa Pia - Benfica	0:7 ✺
08.08.26	Marítimo - Casa Pia	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Leixões - Casa Pia	6:2 ✺
Liga Portugal
28.05.26	Casa Pia - Torreense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLLLW
- Moreirense FC
Liga Portugal
16.08.26	Arouca - Moreirense	4:0 ✺
09.08.26	Moreirense - Braga	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Moreirense - Amarante	2:0 ✺
22.07.26	Santa Clara - Moreirense	2:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
16.05.26	Moreirense - AVS	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
01.03.26	Casa Pia - Moreirense	1:1
27.09.25	Moreirense - Casa Pia	2:1
15.02.25	Moreirense - Casa Pia	3:2
14.09.24	Casa Pia - Moreirense	3:1
12.05.24	Casa Pia - Moreirense	0:1
08.01.24	Moreirense - Casa Pia	1:4

Casa Pia - Moreirense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide