Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group C - Round 15

Date: 17 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadio Tonino D'Angelo (Altamura)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 256


	Altamura		ACR Messina

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.3	4.1
	1.75	3.45	4.5
	1.81	3.33	4.43
	1.91	3.33	4.16
	1.75	3.3	4.2
	1.78	3.32	4.23	Watch
	1.75	3.45	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (2.18)	3.35 ↑ (3.17)	4.3 ↑ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Altamura
51.4%

Draw
27.3%

ACR Messina
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

29%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

27.5%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Altamura has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Altamura's performance.

ACR Messina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and ACR Messina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Altamura than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Altamura that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ACR Messina than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that ACR Messina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Altamura - ACR Messina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Pane P. (G) 19. Mane M. 31. De Santis E. 18. Silletti E. 16. Grande M. 7. Rolando M. (C) 4. Dipinto N. 8. Andreoli L. 99. D'Amico F. 90. Simone G. 26. Leonetti V.	12. Krapikas T. (G) 7. Lia D. 6. Manetta M. (C) 15. Marino A. 24. Ortisi P. 28. Pedicillo L. 16. Petrucci D. 4. Garofalo V. 17. Re A. 11. Petrungaro L. 18. Luciani P.
Substitutes
37. Acampa D. 78. Bumbu J. 44. Franco D. 13. Gigliotti G. 69. Lagonigro P. 11. Molinaro S. 10. Peschetola L. 3. Poggesi A. 22. Viola A. (G)	25. Adragna G. 9. Anatriello G. 31. Anzelmo D. 19. Cominetti M. 1. Curtosi F. (G) 29. Di Palma M. 5. Mame Ass N. 10. Mamona B. 20. Morleo U. 98. Rizzo F. 21. Salvo G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
8', Rolando M. 🟨,
15', 1 - 0, De Santis E. ⚽,
22', Lia D. 🟨,
24', 2 - 0, Leonetti V. ⚽,
45+1', Leonetti V. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Petrucci D. ↓, Anzelmo D. ↑,
46', Re A. ↓, Mamona B. ↑,
46', Luciani P. ↓, Anatriello G. ↑,
50', 2 - 1, Anatriello G. ⚽,
55', Simone G. ↓, Peschetola L. ↑,
55', Andreoli L. ↓, Bumbu J. ↑,
63', Mane M. ↓, Gigliotti G. ↑,
68', Petrungaro L. ↓, Cominetti M. ↑,
73', Leonetti V. ↓, Molinaro S. ↑,
76', Lia D. 🟨,
81', Garofalo V. ↓, Salvo G. ↑,
90+2', Pedicillo L. 🟨,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 13 and 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

Altamura is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches ACR Messina is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Altamura will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Team Altamura
Italian Serie C Group C
11.11.24	Turris - Altamura	1:1 ✺
04.11.24	Altamura - Potenza	2:2 ✺
31.10.24	Casertana - Altamura	1:1 ✺
27.10.24	Altamura - Juventus U23	2:0 ✺
19.10.24	Latina - Altamura	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 TTTWW
- ACR Messina
Italian Serie C Group C
10.11.24	ACR Messina - Giugliano	1:0 ✺
03.11.24	Catania - ACR Messina	0:0 ✺
31.10.24	ACR Messina - Cavese	1:3 ✺
27.10.24	Avellino - ACR Messina	6:0 ✺
20.10.24	ACR Messina - Monopoli	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WTLLT

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