The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Altamura 27.8%
Draw 29.8%
Giugliano 42.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.3%
30%
35.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.3%
28.3%
33.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Altamura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Altamura's form might have worsened.
Giugliano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Giugliano's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Altamura than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Altamura, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giugliano than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Giugliano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Altamura - Giugliano Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
97. Alastra F. (G) 13. Poli F. (C) 6. Doumbia C. B. 37. Falasca M. 21. Mogentale T. 19. Zazza M. 4. Dipinto N. 16. Grande M. 70. Peschetola L. 7. Rosafio M. 10. Curcio A.
77. Greco S. (G) 20. Cester S. 24. Caldore M. 14. Vaglica G. 15. D'Avino L. 4. Zammarini R. 8. De Rosa R. 70. D'Agostino G. 31. Murilo 32. Balde I. 9. Isaac Prado
Substitutes
57. Albajrami C. 8. Crimi M. 40. Dimola R. . Esposito M. 73. Fantoni N. 15. Florio M. 28. Millico V. 38. Nicolao G. 14. Simone G. 9. Suazo D. 22. Viola A. (G)
5. Almeida 1. Bolletta L. (G) 43. Bozza M. 6. Broh J. 71. Giordano N. 98. La Rocca G. (G) 33. La Vardera S. 25. Minei A. 90. Ogunseye R. 3. Panico C. 44. Peluso L. 29. Salvatore C. 69. Volpe G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
43', D'Avino L. 🟨,
45', 1 - 0, Grande M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', Curcio A. 🟨,
53', D'Agostino G. ↓, Volpe G. ↑,
53', Isaac Prado ↓, Ogunseye R. ↑,
66', Peschetola L. ↓, Crimi M. ↑,
69', De Rosa R. ↓, Broh J. ↑,
70', Crimi M. 🟨,
76', Grande M. ↓, Esposito M. ↑,
76', Rosafio M. ↓, Millico V. ↑,
77', Cester S. ↓, La Vardera S. ↑,
89', 1 - 1, Zammarini R. ⚽,
90+1', Caldore M. 🟨,
90+2', Dipinto N. ↓, Simone G. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
Altamura is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Giugliano has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Giugliano is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Altamura won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
Including home match between the teams, Altamura won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.