Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 33

Date: 23 March 2026, Monday

Location: Stadio Arechi (Salerno)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport Max
World	Onefootball


	Salernitana		Altamura

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.7	5.25
	1.55	3.75	5.5	Watch
	1.58	3.7	6.24
	1.55	3.73	5.79	Watch
	1.53	3.4	5.5
	1.57	3.76	6.01	Watch
	1.45	3.8	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.44)	3.69 ↓ (3.7)	5.83 ↓ (7.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salernitana
59.5%

Draw
24.8%

Altamura
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.4%

24.7%

11.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

23.3%

11.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salernitana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Altamura has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salernitana than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Salernitana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Altamura than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.9%	7.1%	0%

Salernitana - Altamura Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Altamura (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Salernitana (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Salernitana will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Salernitana (votes: 1 - 50%). Altamura (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Donnarumma A. (G) 26. Matino E. 18. Golemic V. 33. Anastasio A. 35. Cabianca E. 29. Tascone M. 5. Capomaggio G. 45. Di Vico R. 14. Villa L. 7. Achik I. 32. Lescano F.	97. Alastra F. (G) 20. Mbaye I. 5. Zazza M. 18. Silletti E. 37. Falasca M. 4. Dipinto N. 16. Grande M. 21. Mogentale T. 30. Nazzaro M. 28. Millico V. 10. Curcio A.
Substitutes
11. Antonucci M. 95. Barzagli G. 70. Boncori L. 41. Cevers L. (G) 6. de Boer K. 10. Ferrari F. 20. Ferraris A. 4. Gyabuaa M. 16. Haxhiu F. 28. Longobardi G. 25. Molina J. I.	11. Agostinelli V. 27. Celi F. 40. Dimola R. 6. Doumbia C. B. 19. Esposito M. 15. Florio M. 38. Nicolao G. 14. Simone G. 9. Suazo D. 22. Viola A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Grande M. ⚽,
20', Curcio A. 🟥,
22', Golemic V. ↓, Longobardi G. ↑,
42', Mbaye I. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 1, Lescano F. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Silletti E. ↓, Esposito M. ↑,
46', Millico V. ↓, Simone G. ↑,
63', Achik I. ↓, Ferrari F. ↑,
63', Tascone M. ↓, Ferraris A. ↑,
75', 2 - 1, Anastasio A. ⚽,
80', Falasca M. 🟨,
82', Mbaye I. ↓, Doumbia C. B. ↑,
82', Falasca M. ↓, Agostinelli V. ↑,
85', Agostinelli V. 🟨,
86', Nazzaro M. ↓, Florio M. ↑,
88', Di Vico R. ↓, Gyabuaa M. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals) and 11).

Salernitana has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Altamura has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Salernitana is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Salernitana won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Salernitana	8	3	3	2	12:10	2	12
16	Altamura	8	2	2	4	4:10	-6	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Salernitana 1919
Italian Serie C Group C
15.03.26	Crotone - Salernitana	0:1 ✺
08.03.26	Salernitana - Latina	2:1 ✺
05.03.26	Casertana - Salernitana	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Salernitana - Catania	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Salernitana - Monopoli	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWLTL
- Team Altamura
Italian Serie C Group C
15.03.26	Altamura - Catania	1:2 ✺
08.03.26	Nuova Cosenza - Altamura	1:0 ✺
05.03.26	Altamura - Foggia	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Picerno - Altamura	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Altamura - Benevento	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
16.11.25	Altamura - Salernitana	1:2

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