Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE C - FIRST STAGE - ROUND 18

Date: 19 August 2023, Saturday


	Altos		Operário Ferroviario

	1	X	2
	4.4	3.25	1.7
	4.5	3.4	1.7
	4.52	3.54	1.81
	4.5	3	1.75
	4.85	3.32	1.73	Watch
	4.6	3.35	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.56 ↑ (3.19)	3.31 ↑ (3.1)	1.74 ↓ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Altos
20%

Draw
27.5%

Operário Ferroviario
52.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.8%

29.6%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5%

28.3%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Altos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Altos's form might have worsened.

Operário Ferroviario has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Operário Ferroviario's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Altos than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Altos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Operário Ferroviario, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	0%	23.1%

Altos - Operário Ferroviario Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Altos will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Operário PR will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Altos: 54% – 99.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Vinicius Rodrigues (G) 6. Bruno Collaco 25. Diego Valderrama 20. Dieguinho 5. Dos Santos 8. Gabriel M. 7. Lucas Campos 4. Lucas Souza 9. Manoel 3. Marcelo Sousa 2. Victor Guilherme	1. Luiz A. (G) 7. Erik Bessa 13. Fagner Alemao 11. Felipe Augusto 10. Luidy 23. Neto Costa 6. Para 2. Savio 3. Silva A. 8. Vinicius Diniz 4. Willian Machado
Substitutes
17. da Silva Gomes I. G. 13. Digao 10. Gabriel Pires 18. Hugo V. 15. Marcelinho 16. Medina W. 11. Mikael 23. Murilo (G) 19. Palacios J. 14. Vittor J.	14. Borech 17. Branno 9. Dudu Scheit 21. Jean Carlos 16. Lucas Hipolito 15. Marcinho 18. Pedrinho 22. Ryan 12. Talles (G) 19. Vinicius Popo

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).

Altos is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Operário Ferroviario is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Operário Ferroviario is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Associação Atlética de Altos
Brazilian Serie C
12.08.23	Brusque - Altos	3:0 ✺
06.08.23	Altos - Paysandu	1:1 ✺
29.07.23	Volta Redonda - Altos	2:0 ✺
23.07.23	Altos - Botafogo PB	0:1 ✺
16.07.23	Altos - América RN	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LTLLT
- Operário Ferroviario
Brazilian Serie C
12.08.23	Volta Redonda - Operário Ferroviario	1:1 ✺
06.08.23	Operário Ferroviario - São Bernardo	1:0 ✺
29.07.23	Operário Ferroviario - Náutico Capibaribe	1:1 ✺
22.07.23	Confiança - Operário Ferroviario	1:0 ✺
16.07.23	Operário Ferroviario - Floresta	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TWTLW

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