The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Alvarado 45.2%
Draw 32.2%
Cipolletti 22.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
39.6%
33.3%
27.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.8%
33.4%
26.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alvarado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alvarado's performance.
Cipolletti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alvarado that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cipolletti than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
Alvarado - Cipolletti Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Bilbao E. (C)
11. Castellano A.
9. Cervera G.
4. Chiozza L.
5. Federico T.
2. Fernandez T.
3. Gorgerino C.
10. Gutierrez S.
6. Hofstetter P. J.
8. Perez M.
7. Speck N.
Substitutes
13. Berra T.
16. Cortadi A.
15. Makarte R.
20. Melean A.
17. Miori M.
14. Nunez L.
18. Ostachi M.
19. Pinoni F.
12. Zapata A. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
33', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', 🟨,
60', 🟨,
63', 🟨,
80', 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,
Preview
First leg result: 0-1.
One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 1st in the Promotion - Torneo Federal Playoffs and 2nd in the Promotion - Torneo Federal Playoffs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alvarado won 2.
In recent outings, Alvarado has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Cipolletti is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Alvarado carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Alvarado has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:6 (averaging 0.7:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Alvarado against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 3:4 goals (averaging 1:1.3 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Alvarado - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 39.56%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.