Match Info

Date: 23 June 2021, Wednesday


	Alvarado		Mitre

	1	X	2
	2.1	3	3.5
	2.2	2.55	3.8
	2.2	2.63	3.75
	2.12	2.85	3.6
	2.17	2.98	4.02
	2.2	2.75	3.6
	2.21	2.51	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.22)	2.75 ↑ (2.67)	3.8 ↓ (3.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alvarado
42.4%

Draw
33.4%

Mitre
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

34.4%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56%

25.5%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alvarado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Mitre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alvarado, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mitre than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mitre, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Alvarado - Mitre Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 9).

Alvarado is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Mitre is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Alvarado will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Alvarado won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Alvarado won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Alvarado
Argentinian Primera Nacional
17.06.21	Estudiantes de Caseros - Alvarado	1:3 ✺
17.05.21	Alvarado - Tigre	1:1 ✺
10.05.21	Quilmes - Alvarado	3:4 ✺
03.05.21	Alvarado - Agropecuario Argentino	2:0 ✺
25.04.21	Deportivo Maipú - Alvarado	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.3 WTWWL
- CA Mitre
Argentinian Primera Nacional
16.06.21	Mitre - Tigre	4:2 ✺
21.05.21	Quilmes - Mitre	2:1 ✺
15.05.21	Mitre - Agropecuario Argentino	1:2 ✺
07.05.21	Deportivo Maipú - Mitre	1:1 ✺
03.05.21	Mitre - Temperley	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
27.12.20	Mitre - Alvarado	2:2
09.11.19	Alvarado - Mitre	2:0
Argentinian Torneo Federal
22.05.16	Alvarado - Mitre	0:0
15.05.16	Mitre - Alvarado	1:1

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