Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 29

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday


	Real Bedford		Sudbury Town

	1	X	2
	1.39	4.55	5.9
	1.35	5.01	6.74
	1.47	4.73	5.68	Watch
	1.36	4.4	6
	1.32	4.8	7.39
	1.35	5	6.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.39)	4.75 ↑ (4.72)	6.4 ↓ (6.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Bedford
66.5%

Draw
19.2%

Sudbury Town
14.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

66.8%

19.7%

13.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71%

18.5%

12.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Bedford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Sudbury Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Bedford than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sudbury Town than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Real Bedford - Sudbury Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, Ward S. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
54', 1 - 1, Connolly K. ⚽,
68', 2 - 1, Setchell J. ⚽,
82', 3 - 1, Stevens B. ⚽,
85', 4 - 1, Allen J. ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs: ) and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Real Bedford is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sudbury has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Sudbury has had a series of home games.

In this match, Real Bedford is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Real Bedford won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Real Bedford	12	10	2	0	36:13	23	32

Outrights of English Southern League Central Division for now

Real Bedford: 25.61%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Bedford
English Southern League Central Division
20.01.26	Real Bedford - Bromsgrove Sporting	2:0 ✺
17.01.26	Barwell - Real Bedford	0:2 ✺
13.01.26	Sudbury Town - Real Bedford	1:3 ✺
27.12.25	Real Bedford - St Ives Town	1:3 ✺
20.12.25	Spalding United - Real Bedford	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWWLT
- Sudbury Town
English Southern League Central Division
20.01.26	Stamford - Sudbury Town	3:2 ✺
17.01.26	Sudbury Town - Harborough Town	1:3 ✺
13.01.26	Sudbury Town - Real Bedford	1:3 ✺
10.01.26	Sudbury Town - Bishops Stortford	0:2 ✺
27.12.25	Sudbury Town - Bury Town	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
13.01.26	Sudbury Town - Real Bedford	1:3

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