Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - PROMOTION GROUP - ROUND 5

Date: 9 March 2024, Saturday

Location: FC Alverca Sports Complex (Alverca do Ribatejo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Alverca		Covilhã

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.2	3.6	Watch
	1.9	3.25	3.75
	1.99	3.29	4.47
	1.93	3.29	4.47
	1.85	3.24	4.05
	1.94	3.25	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.02)	3.25 (3.25)	3.97 ↑ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alverca
48.3%

Draw
28.5%

Covilhã
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

28%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

27.3%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alverca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Covilhã has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alverca than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Covilhã than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Joao Bravim (G) 17. Costa J. 25. Dias R. 44. Gomes C. 21. Harramiz S. 6. Luiz Miguel 88. Martins D. 4. Oliveira A. 16. Pires M. 33. Venaque (C) 90. Vitor Bruno	30. Makaridze G. (G) 4. Adams M. 99. Benedict E. 3. Casagrande P. (C) 87. Ferreira R. 82. Figueiredo B. 20. Gildo 19. Joao Vasco 13. Michel 80. Renato Luis 24. Tomas N.

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 (Promotion: ) and 6).

Alverca is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Covilhã is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Alverca have a series of guest games.

In this match Alverca is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Alverca won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Alverca won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Alverca
Portuguese Liga 3
02.03.24	Varzim - Alverca	0:1 ✺
24.02.24	Felgueiras - Alverca	1:1 ✺
18.02.24	Alverca - Atlético CP	2:0 ✺
11.02.24	Braga B - Alverca	2:1 ✺
27.01.24	Amora - Alverca	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WTWLW
- Sporting Covilhã
Portuguese Liga 3
02.03.24	Covilhã - Atlético CP	2:2 ✺
24.02.24	Braga B - Covilhã	0:0 ✺
18.02.24	Covilhã - Lusitânia	0:1 ✺
10.02.24	Académica Coimbra - Covilhã	0:0 ✺
27.01.24	Caldas - Covilhã	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
16.12.23	Alverca - Covilhã	2:2
03.09.23	Covilhã - Alverca	1:2
Portuguese Liga 2
29.05.22	Covilhã - Alverca	2:0
21.05.22	Alverca - Covilhã	0:0

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