Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - PROMOTION GROUP - ROUND 7

Date: 31 March 2024, Sunday

Location: FC Alverca Sports Complex (Alverca do Ribatejo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Alverca		Lusitânia

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	3.1
	2.29	3.15	3.36
	2.3	3.15	3.36
	2.19	3.13	3.14
	2.17	3.05	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.43)	3.12 ↓ (3.22)	3.22 ↑ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alverca
41.5%

Draw
29.7%

Lusitânia
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

29.3%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

29.1%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alverca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alverca than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lusitânia than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Joao Bravim (G) 4. Oliveira A. 33. Venaque 19. Silva R. 88. Martins D. 5. Ze Oliveira 25. Dias R. 90. Vitor Bruno 16. Pires M. 17. Costa J. 6. Luiz Miguel	33. Costa J. (G) 21. Pereira M. 3. Lytvyn D. 28. Mesquita T. 5. Nandinho 44. David Santos 10. Rosado D. 18. Pereira D. 96. Nem Jefferson 19. Fortes F. 7. Borges M.
Substitutes
44. Gomes C. 28. Hachadi K. 22. Hidalgo N. (G) 23. Iago Oliveira 18. Jesus P. 15. Lucas J. 95. Sagna P. 14. Varela J. 11. Vitinho	8. Abreu E. 66. Bamba Y. 12. Cerveira T. 26. Flores R. (G) 77. Goba 17. Goncalves R. 4. Morais B. 89. Nuninho 83. Ribeiro S.
Coaches
Pereira J.	Pinto J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
7', Pereira D. 🟨,
8', 1 - 0, Venaque ⚽,
36', 2 - 0, Costa J. ⚽,
45+2', 2 - 1, Pereira M. ⚽,
45+3', Rosado D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Oliveira A. ↓, Gomes C. ↑,
46', Rosado D. ↓, Goncalves R. ↑,
50', David Santos 🟨,
57', Pereira D. 🟨,
57', Pereira D. 🟨,
57', Borges M. 🟨,
63', Fortes F. ↓, Goba ↑,
63', Pereira M. ↓, Abreu E. ↑,
67', Luiz Miguel ↓, Varela J. ↑,
67', Costa J. ↓, Hachadi K. ↑,
74', Borges M. ↓, Ribeiro S. ↑,
78', Silva R. ↓, Sagna P. ↑,
81', Lytvyn D. ↓, Nuninho ↑,
81', Pires M. 🟨,
83', Varela J. 🟨,
86', Martins D. 🟨,
86', Vitor Bruno 🟨,
90+2', Vitor Bruno ↓, Lucas J. ↑,
90+4', Sagna P. 🟨,
90+7', 3 - 1, Varela J. ⚽, Hachadi K. (A),
90+11', 🟨,
90+11', Varela J. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 (Promotion: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2).

Alverca is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lusitânia is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Alverca could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Alverca will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Alverca
Portuguese Liga 3
16.03.24	Académica Coimbra - Alverca	0:0 ✺
09.03.24	Alverca - Covilhã	1:0 ✺
02.03.24	Varzim - Alverca	0:1 ✺
24.02.24	Felgueiras - Alverca	1:1 ✺
18.02.24	Alverca - Atlético CP	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 TWWTW
- Lusitânia FC
Portuguese Liga 3
17.03.24	Lusitânia - Atlético CP	3:1 ✺
10.03.24	Braga B - Lusitânia	2:2 ✺
02.03.24	Lusitânia - Felgueiras	1:0 ✺
24.02.24	Lusitânia - Académica Coimbra	2:1 ✺
18.02.24	Covilhã - Lusitânia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WTWWW

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