Match Info

Date: 8 March 2022, Tuesday


	América Mineiro		Barcelona Guayaquil

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.1	4.2	Watch
	1.88	3.1	4.5
	2.02	3.1	3.9	Watch
	2.05	2.9	3.7
	2.13	3.03	4.09
	1.95	3	4	Watch
	2.07	3.15	3.72	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.77)	3.05 ↓ (3.28)	4.02 ↓ (4.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

América Mineiro
46.2%

Draw
30.6%

Barcelona Guayaquil
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

28%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

18.6%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

América Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that América Mineiro's form might have worsened.

Barcelona Guayaquil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with América Mineiro that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona Guayaquil than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barcelona Guayaquil could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

América Mineiro - Barcelona Guayaquil Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches América MG is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Barcelona Guayaquil in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

América MG could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match América MG is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- América Mineiro
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
05.03.22	América Mineiro - Villa Nova AC	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
02.03.22	Guaraní Asuncion - América Mineiro	2:4 penalties ✺
23.02.22	América Mineiro - Guaraní Asuncion	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
19.02.22	URT - América Mineiro	0:0 ✺
16.02.22	América Mineiro - Patrocinense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLTW
- Barcelona Guayaquil
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
05.03.22	9 de Octubre - Barcelona Guayaquil	1:3 ✺
Copa Libertadores
02.03.22	Universitario de Deportes - Barcelona Guayaquil	0:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
26.02.22	Barcelona Guayaquil - Técnico Universitario	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
23.02.22	Barcelona Guayaquil - Universitario de Deportes	2:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
19.02.22	Delfín - Barcelona Guayaquil	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWWWW

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