Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 3

Date: 22 April 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha (Guayaquil) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Benitez C. (Par)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life
Argentina	23:00	Disney+, FOX Sports 3
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	12:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Brazil	23:00	Disney+, ESPN 4
Bulgaria	05:00	Max Sport 4
Canada	22:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports
Indonesia	09:00	Mola TV
Israel	05:00	Sport 1
Italy	04:00	Como TV
Mexico	20:00	Disney+
North Macedonia	04:00	MaxTV GO
Russia	05:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	04:00	Arena Sport 1
South America	—	ESPN 6 South
Spain	04:00	beIN Sports
Usa	22:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	22:00	Inter
International	02:00	Disney+


	Barcelona Guayaquil		Universitario de Deportes

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.4	4.33	Watch
	1.7	3.5	5
	1.95	3.25	4.2	Watch
	1.95	3.26	4.51
	1.91	3.31	4.44	Watch
	1.7	3.3	5
	1.94	3.39	4.36	Watch
	1.95	3.25	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.73)	3.33 ↓ (3.55)	4.51 ↓ (5.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barcelona Guayaquil
50.5%

Draw
28.4%

Universitario de Deportes
21%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

54.7%

26.6%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

26.5%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barcelona Guayaquil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Universitario de Deportes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona Guayaquil than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universitario de Deportes than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Barcelona Guayaquil - Universitario de Deportes Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Uni de Deportes (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Barcelona (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Barcelona Guayaquil will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Barcelona (votes: 1 - 50%). Uni de Deportes (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Contreras J. (G) 18. Carabali B. 3. Arreaga X. (C) 4. Vallecilla G. 6. Chala A. 5. Jesus Trindade 23. Arroyo D. 7. Gomez J. 21. Valiente J. 13. Corozo J. 9. Rivero O.	1. Britos S. (G) 24. Polo A. 5. Di Benedetto M. 3. Riveros W. 33. Inga C. 27. Carabali J. 7. Velez J. 18. Urena R. 17. Concha J. 19. Flores E. (C) 20. Valera A.
Substitutes
41. Calle P. 37. Campi G. 26. Castillo Segura B. D. 29. Chala Rosales W. J. 8. Cortez Casierra G. J. 16. De Arruabarrena I. (G) 2. Mario Pineida 28. Quinonez Ruiz J. R. 14. Rangel A. 25. Solano C. 22. Souza de Almeida L. 27. Vargas W.	26. Ancajima H. 12. Calderon A. (G) 29. Corzo A. 8. Costa G. 34. Cruz E. 15. Diego Churin 55. Dulanto G. 36. Flores S. 23. Murrugarra J. 14. Reyna P. 11. Rivera J. 25. Vargas M. (G)
Coaches
Castillo S.	Barreto Sayan M. F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Flores E. ⚽, Velez J. (A),
40', Velez J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Jesus Trindade ↓, Souza de Almeida L. ↑,
57', Costa G. 🟨,
58', Urena R. 🟨,
58', Rivero O. 🟨,
61', Velez J. ↓, Ancajima H. ↑,
61', Valiente J. ↓, Solano C. ↑,
61', Gomez J. ↓, Cortez Casierra G. J. ↑,
68', Souza de Almeida L. 🟨,
69', Valera A. ↓, Rivera J. ↑,
69', Flores E. ↓, Diego Churin ↑,
76', Carabali J. ↓, Corzo A. ↑,
76', Concha J. ↓, Murrugarra J. ↑,
83', Arroyo D. ↓, Quinonez Ruiz J. R. ↑,
86', Barreto Sayan M. F. 🟨,
90+2', Polo A. 🟨,
90+4', Solano C. 🟨,

Preview

Barcelona is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Uni de Deportes is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Barcelona is a favorite.

There will not play in Barcelona: Oyola B. (Inactive) Rojas J. (Broken Leg)

There will not play in Uni de Deportes: Perez M. (Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Barcelona won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0 (average 1.5:0).

Including matches at home between the teams Barcelona won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barcelona Guayaquil
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
18.04.25	Barcelona Guayaquil - El Nacional	1:0 ✺
14.04.25	Orense - Barcelona Guayaquil	3:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
08.04.25	River Plate - Barcelona Guayaquil	0:0 ✺
01.04.25	Barcelona Guayaquil - Independiente del Valle	1:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
28.03.25	Barcelona Guayaquil - Delfín	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WLTWW
- Universitario de Deportes
Peruvian Liga 1
18.04.25	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Universitario de Deportes	1:3 ✺
13.04.25	Universitario de Deportes - FBC Melgar	4:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
08.04.25	Independiente del Valle - Universitario de Deportes	1:0 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
05.04.25	Alianza Lima - Universitario de Deportes	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
02.04.25	Universitario de Deportes - River Plate	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
02.03.22	Universitario de Deportes - Barcelona Guayaquil	0:1
23.02.22	Barcelona Guayaquil - Universitario de Deportes	2:0

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