Match Info

Serie B Superbet - Round 2

Date: 1 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Mineirão (Belo Horizonte)

Referee: Cidral D. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping


	América Mineiro		Botafogo SP

	1	X	2
	2.01	3.3	3.5	Watch
	2.08	3.2	3.45
	2.02	3.35	4.15
	1.99	3.32	3.85
	2.1	3.1	3.4
	2.12	3.16	3.52	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.85)	3.24 ↓ (3.25)	3.65 ↓ (4.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

América Mineiro
45.5%

Draw
28.9%

Botafogo SP
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

28.4%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

América Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Botafogo SP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	0%	36.4%

América Mineiro - Botafogo SP Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. América MG will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Botafogo SP will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for América MG: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gustavo (G) 22. Leo Alaba 16. Ale (C) 3. Nathan Pelae 2. Emerson Santos 8. Felipe Amaral 6. Paulinho 21. Eduardo Person 7. Gabriel Barros 17. Gonzalo Mastriani 9. Willian Bigode	1. Victor Souza (G) 22. Gabriel Inocencio 4. Vilar 14. Carlao 6. Patrick Brey (C) 5. Leandro Maciel 8. Everton Morelli 30. Ze Hugo 10. Rafael Gava 7. Kelvin 9. Hygor
Substitutes
96. Artur 29. Dalbert 5. Elizari F. 23. Everton Brito 42. Jhonny 20. Paulo Victor 4. Rafa Barcelos 77. Segovia M. 11. Thauan 97. Val Soares 19. William (G) 10. Yago Souza	27. Darlan 26. Felipe Vieira 11. Jefferson Nem 2. Jonathan 12. Jordan (G) 21. Luizao 20. Marquinho 16. Matheus Sales 29. Thiago Moraes 23. Wesley Santos
Coaches
Alberto Valentim	Claudio Tencati

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Gonzalo Mastriani ⚽, Willian Bigode (A),
30', Claudio Tencati 🟨,
32', 1 - 1, Everton Morelli ⚽, Rafael Gava (A),
45+4', Kelvin 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Gabriel Barros ↓, Thauan ↑,
54', Ze Hugo 🟨,
59', 1 - 2, Ze Hugo ⚽, Patrick Brey (A),
61', Felipe Amaral ↓, Yago Souza ↑,
72', Leo Alaba ↓, Jhonny ↑,
72', Willian Bigode ↓, Segovia M. ↑,
75', Hygor ↓, Luizao ↑,
75', Rafael Gava ↓, Matheus Sales ↑,
76', Luizao 🟨,
78', Eduardo Person ↓, Paulo Victor ↑,
83', Kelvin ↓, Jefferson Nem ↑,
83', Gabriel Inocencio ↓, Jonathan ↑,
89', Matheus Sales 🟨,
90', Ze Hugo ↓, Thiago Moraes ↑,
90+1', Gonzalo Mastriani 🟨,
90+2', Gustavo 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, América MG won 2.

América MG has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Botafogo SP may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

América MG is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in América MG: Nathan Pelae (Inactive) Ricardo Silva (Inactive)

There will not play in Botafogo SP: Ericson (Knee Injury) Thalles (Inactive)

There are questionable in Botafogo SP: Guilherme Mariano (Inactive) Rafael Gava (Muscle Injury) Wallace (Inactive)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, América MG won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, América MG won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Botafogo SP	32	10	8	14	36:38	-2	38
19	America MG	32	4	5	23	21:53	-32	17

Last Results with these Odds

Botafogo SP - the odds 4.24 are the expected chance of winning is 21.71%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- América Mineiro
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
29.03.26	América Mineiro - Caxias	1:2 ✺
25.03.26	Grêmio Novorizontino - América Mineiro	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
22.03.26	Goiás - América Mineiro	3:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
12.03.26	Barra Santa Catarina - América Mineiro	1:0 penalties ✺
04.03.26	América Mineiro - Tirol	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LTLLW
- Botafogo SP
Brazilian Serie B
21.03.26	Botafogo SP - Fortaleza	4:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
15.02.26	Botafogo SP - Capivariano	0:1 ✺
07.02.26	Guarani - Botafogo SP	0:2 ✺
01.02.26	Botafogo SP - Palmeiras	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Grêmio Novorizontino - Botafogo SP	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.6 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
02.08.25	Botafogo SP - América Mineiro	2:1
05.04.25	América Mineiro - Botafogo SP	1:0
09.08.24	América Mineiro - Botafogo SP	3:1
19.04.24	Botafogo SP - América Mineiro	1:1
15.01.21	América Mineiro - Botafogo SP	1:1
16.10.20	Botafogo SP - América Mineiro	1:2
07.09.19	Botafogo SP - América Mineiro	0:0

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