The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
América Mineiro 74.8%
Draw 19%
Coimbra 6.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
67%
21.2%
11.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.6%
12.2%
20.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
América Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in América Mineiro's performance.
Coimbra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Coimbra might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (-36.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with América Mineiro that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coimbra than the current prediction. (+14.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Coimbra could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
América Mineiro - Coimbra Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion to Campeonato Mineiro (Play Offs) and 12 in the zone Relegation).
Recent matches América MG is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Coimbra is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
América MG could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match América MG is indisputable favorite.
Last 1 head-to-head matches América MG won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.