Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA SUDAMERICANA - PLAY OFFS - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 18 July 2023, Tuesday

Location: Estádio Raimundo Sampaio (Belo Horizonte)

Referee: Herrera D. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Brazil	ESPN
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Portugal	Sport TV


	América Mineiro		Colo-Colo

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.5	4.5	Watch
	1.85	3.4	4.1
	1.94	3.45	3.9
	1.85	3.6	4.39
	1.83	3.25	4
	1.87	3.56	4.1	Watch
	1.87	3.4	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (1.89)	3.45 ↑ (3.25)	4.16 ↑ (3.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

América Mineiro
50.3%

Draw
27.2%

Colo-Colo
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

28.3%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

27.9%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

América Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Colo-Colo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colo-Colo than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	13.3%	6.7%

América Mineiro - Colo Colo Predictions

Users Predictions: América Mineiro will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
14. Mateus Pasinato (G) 33. Eder Ferreira 21. Lucas Kal 18. Cesar J. 75. Rodriguinho 7. Matheusinho 28. Cascardo Lemos B. 16. Ale (C) 30. Nicolas Vichiatto 17. Gonzalo Mastriani 65. Rodrigo Varanda	30. De Paul F. (G) 21. Wiemberg E. 4. Saldivia A. 37. Falcon M. 32. Opazo Lara O. 6. Fuentes C. 5. Gil L. 8. Pavez E. (C) 18. Bouzat A. 7. Carlos Palacios 9. Pizarro D.
Substitutes
5. Emmanuel Martinez 37. Everaldo 11. Felipe Azevedo 3. Iago Maidana 8. Juninho 6. Marlon 10. Martin Benitez 36. Mateus Henrique 1. Matheus Cavichioli (G) 78. Renato Marques 4. Wanderson 9. Wellington Paulista	22. Benegas L. 11. Bolados M. 17. Castillo F. 1. Cortes B. (G) 23. Gonzalez R. 13. Gutierrez B. 3. Gutierrez D. 16. Lezcano D. 26. Moya M. 34. Pizarro V. 2. Rojas J. 24. Thompson J.
Coaches
Mancini V.	Quinteros G.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-2.

América MG is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Colo-Colo is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Colo-Colo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently América MG have a series of guest games.

Recently Colo-Colo have a series of home games.

América MG will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches América MG won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- América Mineiro
Copa do Brasil
15.07.23	Corinthians - América Mineiro	4:2 penalties ✺
Copa Sudamericana
11.07.23	Colo-Colo - América Mineiro	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
08.07.23	Coritiba - América Mineiro	3:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
05.07.23	América Mineiro - Corinthians	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
02.07.23	Atlético Mineiro - América Mineiro	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLLWT
- Colo-Colo
Chilean Primera Division
15.07.23	Colo-Colo - OHiggins	2:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
11.07.23	Colo-Colo - América Mineiro	2:1 ✺
Chilean Cup
04.07.23	Colo-Colo - Unión La Calera	6:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
29.06.23	Colo-Colo - Deportivo Pereira	0:0 ✺
06.06.23	Boca Juniors - Colo-Colo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
11.07.23	Colo-Colo - América Mineiro	2:1

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