Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE A - ROUND 28

Date: 22 October 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Ukraine	Sport 1


	Corinthians		América Mineiro

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.5	4.5	Watch
	1.87	3.5	4.2	Watch
	1.9	3.5	4.96
	1.85	3.5	4.96
	1.7	3.7	4.5
	1.83	3.58	4.25	Watch
	1.78	3.4	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.75)	3.53 ↑ (3.51)	4.58 ↓ (4.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Corinthians
52.2%

Draw
27%

América Mineiro
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

26.6%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

23.6%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

América Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.4%	5.9%	11.8%

Corinthians - América Mineiro Predictions

Users Predictions: Corinthians will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Cassio (C) 23. Fagner 4. Carlos G. d. N. S. 3. Lucas Verissimo 21. Matheus Bidu 5. Fausto Vera 44. Moscardo G. 33. Ruan O. 8. Renato Augusto 27. Pedro Henrique 9. Yuri Alberto	12. Jori (G) 75. Rodriguinho 45. Ricardo Silva 3. Iago Maidana 22. Danilo Avelar 6. Marlon 8. Juninho (C) 5. Emmanuel Martinez 10. Martin Benitez 11. Felipe Azevedo 17. Gonzalo Mastriani
Substitutes
11. Angel Romero 25. Bruno Mendez 14. Caetano 24. Cantillo V. 22. Carlos Miguel (G) 6. Fabio Santos 41. Felipe Augusto 20. Giuliano 2. Rafael Ramos 10. Rojas M. 29. Roni 36. Wesley	16. Ale 26. Burgos E. 28. Cascardo Lemos B. 80. Cazares 33. Eder Ferreira 37. Everaldo 36. Mateus Henrique 1. Matheus Cavichioli (G) 23. Mendez J. 30. Nicolas Vichiatto 79. Renato Kayzer 9. Wellington Paulista
Coaches
Mano Menezes	Bustos F.

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 14 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Corinthians won 1.

Corinthians is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

América MG has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Corinthians could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Corinthians is a favorite.

There will not play in Corinthians: Giovane (Injury) Moscardo G. (Injury) Paulinho (Knee Injury)

There will not play in América MG: Aloisio (Injury)

Last 13 head-to-head matches Corinthians won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Corinthians won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Corinthians
Brazilian Serie A
19.10.23	Fluminense - Corinthians	3:3 ✺
07.10.23	Corinthians - Flamengo	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
03.10.23	Fortaleza - Corinthians	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
30.09.23	São Paulo - Corinthians	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
26.09.23	Corinthians - Fortaleza	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TTLLT
- América Mineiro
Brazilian Serie A
18.10.23	América Mineiro - Botafogo RJ	1:2 ✺
08.10.23	Fortaleza - América Mineiro	3:2 ✺
01.10.23	Cruzeiro - América Mineiro	1:1 ✺
25.09.23	América Mineiro - Vasco da Gama	0:1 ✺
19.09.23	América Mineiro - Red Bull Bragantino	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Copa do Brasil
15.07.23	Corinthians - América Mineiro	4:2 penalties
05.07.23	América Mineiro - Corinthians	1:0
Brazilian Serie A
03.06.23	América Mineiro - Corinthians	2:0
18.09.22	América Mineiro - Corinthians	1:0
29.05.22	Corinthians - América Mineiro	1:1
19.09.21	Corinthians - América Mineiro	1:1
06.06.21	América Mineiro - Corinthians	0:1

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