Match Info

Date: 24 October 2020, Saturday


	América Mineiro		Confiança

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.2	7.5	Watch
	1.6	3.4	5.25
	1.54	3.55	5.5	Watch
	1.59	3.35	6
	1.64	3.56	6.81
	1.6	3.3	6.5
	1.64	3.6	5.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.68)	3.42 ↓ (3.48)	6.2 ↑ (5.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

América Mineiro
57.9%

Draw
27.1%

Confiança
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.4%

27.2%

16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

15.8%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

América Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Confiança has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (-25.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with América Mineiro that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Confiança than the current prediction. (+13.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Confiança could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

América Mineiro - Confiança Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion to Serie A and 6).

During last matches two teams got success in matches and won.

Confiança could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match América MG is a favorite.

During last matches two teams got success in matches and won.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- América Mineiro
Brazilian Serie B
20.10.20	América Mineiro - Brasil de Pelotas	3:1 ✺
16.10.20	Botafogo SP - América Mineiro	1:2 ✺
09.10.20	América Mineiro - Náutico Capibaribe	2:0 ✺
06.10.20	Vitória Salvador - América Mineiro	1:2 ✺
03.10.20	América Mineiro - Guaraní Asuncion	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWWT
- AD Confiança Aracaju
Brazilian Serie B
21.10.20	Sampaio Corrêa - Confiança	1:3 ✺
17.10.20	Confiança - Osasco Sporting	3:1 ✺
09.10.20	Operário Ferroviario - Confiança	1:1 ✺
06.10.20	Confiança - CRB Maceio	1:0 ✺
03.10.20	Náutico Capibaribe - Confiança	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.8 WWTWW

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