Match Info

Mineiro - Round 6

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Mineirão (Belo Horizonte)

Referee: Fernandes de Lima F. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	SporTV


	América Mineiro		URT

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.43	3.9	7.3
	1.4	4.17	9.97
	1.42	3.96	7.71
	1.36	3.75	8.5
	1.36	3.85	9.55	Watch
	1.41	4	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.73)	3.94 ↑ (3.33)	8.51 ↑ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

América Mineiro
65.8%

Draw
23.3%

URT
10.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

27.3%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1%

29.2%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

América Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in América Mineiro's performance.

URT has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and URT might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with América Mineiro that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for URT than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that URT could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

América Mineiro - URT Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. América MG (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gustavo (G) 22. Leo Alaba 45. Ricardo Silva (C) 4. Rafa Barcelos 96. Artur 8. Felipe Amaral 10. Yago Souza 77. Segovia M. 21. Eduardo Person 11. Thauan 20. Paulo Victor	1. Ariel (G) 22. Arlen 3. Leo Santos (C) 13. Evson 25. Augusto G. 5. John Everson 88. Pedrinho 11. Cesar 15. Hippolito 16. Bruninho 19. Gabriel Moyses
Substitutes
17. Dorna K. 5. Elizari F. 23. Everton Brito 55. Goncalves O. 88. Jhonatan Lima 3. Nathan Pelae 6. Paulinho 12. Samuel 97. Val Soares 19. William (G) 33. Yago Santos 67. Yarlen	21. Andrade F. 12. Arthur Gazze (G) 17. Buiu 9. Ditinho 31. Jonathan Balotelli 10. Laercio 99. Marcelo Macola 33. Peloggia M. 7. Rolon L. 26. Soares G. 6. Vitor Gottems
Coaches
Alberto Valentim	Roque A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', Artur 🟨,
21', 1 - 0, Paulo Victor ⚽, Eduardo Person (A),
45+3', John Everson 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
77', Eduardo Person 🟨,
90+1', Rolon L. 🟨,
90+7', Ricardo Silva 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, América MG won 3.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

In this match, América MG is the clear favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, América MG won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:4. (average 1.9:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, América MG won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- América Mineiro
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
24.01.26	Uberlândia - América Mineiro	1:1 ✺
21.01.26	América Mineiro - Atlético Mineiro	1:1 ✺
18.01.26	Itabirito - América Mineiro	1:1 ✺
14.01.26	Democrata GV - América Mineiro	0:1 ✺
11.01.26	América Mineiro - Athletic Club	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TTTWW
- União Recreativa dos Trabalhadores
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
24.01.26	URT - Itabirito	2:1 ✺
21.01.26	Betim - URT	0:2 ✺
17.01.26	URT - Pouso Alegre	0:0 ✺
14.01.26	Athletic Club - URT	0:1 ✺
10.01.26	URT - North Esporte Clube	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
19.02.22	URT - América Mineiro	0:0
25.04.21	URT - América Mineiro	0:5
29.07.20	URT - América Mineiro	0:3
09.02.19	América Mineiro - URT	3:1
21.01.18	URT - América Mineiro	1:1
05.02.17	América Mineiro - URT	0:0
10.04.16	URT - América Mineiro	1:1

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