Match Info

Mineiro - Round 3

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Municipal Castor Cifuentes (Nova Lima)

Referee: Teixeira A. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Itabirito		América Mineiro

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.85	3.25	1.72
	5.24	3.33	1.68
	4.33	3	1.75
	5.35	3.13	1.69	Watch
	5.66	3.14	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.09 ↓ (5.22)	3.17 ↓ (3.52)	1.71 ↑ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Itabirito
17.9%

Draw
28.8%

América Mineiro
53.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.6%

26.1%

56.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Itabirito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

América Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Itabirito - América Mineiro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
97. Vinicius Dias (G) 17. Gleisinho 3. Wallace 4. Felipe Camargo 15. Bryan Garcia (C) 20. Luis Araujo 21. Victor Ferreira 13. Serginho 11. Ruan Levine 8. Pedro Rodrigues 28. Romario	1. Gustavo (G) 12. Samuel 6. Paulinho 55. Goncalves O. 4. Rafa Barcelos 97. Val Soares (C) 3. Nathan Pelae 33. Yago Santos 23. Everton Brito 5. Elizari F. 88. Jhonatan Lima
Substitutes
2. Denzel 18. Eduardo Santos 1. Gabriel Bernard (G) 9. Gabriel Morbeck 10. Givigi G. 22. Hulk 77. Kadu (G) 29. Luis Campero 26. Matheus Galdino 6. Renan Gustavo 5. Renan Metz	96. Artur 21. Eduardo Person 2. Emerson Santos 8. Felipe Amaral 41. Kaua Diniz 22. Leo Alaba 20. Paulo Victor 45. Ricardo Silva 11. Thauan 19. William (G) 10. Yago Souza
Coaches
Marcelo Caranhato	Alberto Valentim

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', Serginho ↓, Luis Campero ↑,
58', Val Soares ↓, Thauan ↑,
58', Elizari F. ↓, Eduardo Person ↑,
65', Romario ↓, Givigi G. ↑,
65', Luis Araujo ↓, Matheus Galdino ↑,
67', Jhonatan Lima ↓, Paulo Victor ↑,
78', Goncalves O. ↓, Felipe Amaral ↑,
78', Everton Brito ↓, Kauan Cristtyan ↑,
79', Gleisinho ↓, Hulk ↑,
79', Ruan Levine ↓, Denzel ↑,
83', 1 - 0, Givigi G. ⚽,
90+2', 1 - 1, Nathan Pelae ⚽, Thauan (A),

Preview

América MG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, América MG is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Itabirito won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Including home match between the teams, Itabirito won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Itabirito FC
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
14.01.26	Pouso Alegre - Itabirito	3:1 ✺
10.01.26	Itabirito - Democrata GV	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
26.07.25	Itabirito - Atlético Monte Azul	1:2 ✺
19.07.25	Cianorte - Itabirito	3:1 ✺
12.07.25	Itabirito - Goiatuba	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- América Mineiro
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
14.01.26	Democrata GV - América Mineiro	0:1 ✺
11.01.26	América Mineiro - Athletic Club	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
23.11.25	Athletico Paranaense - América Mineiro	1:0 ✺
16.11.25	América Mineiro - Cuiabá	1:1 ✺
10.11.25	Chapecoense - América Mineiro	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
03.02.24	Itabirito - América Mineiro	0:0

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