What is the expert prediction for América de Cali vs Alianza Valledupar?

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América de Cali vs Alianza Valledupar Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Thursday, September 03, 2026)

Match Info

Primera A - Clausura - Round 9

Date: 3 September 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero (Cali)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz, SportsEngine Play


	América de Cali		Alianza Valledupar

	1	X	2
	1.29	5	12	Watch
	1.28	5.25	9.00
	1.31	4.3	11.5	Watch
	1.32	5.2	11.54
	1.32	4.79	10.58	Watch
	1.28	4.85	11
	1.31	4.75	10	Watch
	1.28	5	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.46)	4.89 ↑ (4.1)	10.7 ↑ (7.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

América de Cali
72.1%

Draw
19.1%

Alianza Valledupar
8.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

23%

12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.6%

21.9%

12%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

América de Cali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in América de Cali's performance.

Alianza Valledupar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for América de Cali than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

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Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jean (G) 26. Hurtado Torres Y. D. 24. Tovar C. 22. Hernandez N. 14. Mina M. 15. Carrascal R. (C) 5. Escobar J. 23. Quinones L. 10. Guzman Y. 7. Murillo J. 21. Angel T.	1. Wallens J. (G) 60. Rosales Y. 3. Moreno K. 5. Franco P. (C) 33. Lasso J. 7. Castillo J. 6. Meza Mercado E. W. 17. Pardo F. 15. Esparragoza C. 8. Munoz J. 18. Vergara C.
Substitutes
25. Balanta J. 30. Bertel O. 36. Camacho Anchico J. A. 6. Cavadia J. 17. Lucumi J. 12. Montoya J. (G) 2. Torres M. 77. Tortolero E. 9. Valencia D.	22. Figueroa J. 77. Martinez M. 4. Mosquera J. 88. Palacios L. 13. Simancas A. (G) 14. Villegas C. 32. Viveros J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Tovar C. ⚽, Hernandez N. (A),
45+3', 2 - 0, Angel T. ⚽, Guzman Y. (A),
45+5', Meza Mercado E. W. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Esparragoza C. ↓, Palacios L. ↑,
60', Meza Mercado E. W. ↓, Mosquera J. ↑,
63', 3 - 0, Guzman Y. (Penalty Awarded),
63', Murillo J. ↓, Tortolero E. ↑,
63', Angel T. ↓, Valencia D. ↑,
63', Quinones L. ↓, Lucumi J. ↑,
74', Vergara C. ↓, Martinez M. ↑,
74', Pardo F. ↓, Villegas C. ↑,
74', Guzman Y. ↓, Camacho Anchico J. A. ↑,
74', Escobar J. ↓, Cavadia J. ↑,
75', Mina M. 🟨,
84', Castillo J. ↓, Viveros J. ↑,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 18).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, América de Cali won 4.

América de Cali is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Alianza is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Alianza has had a series of home games.

In this match, América de Cali is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that América de Cali will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, América de Cali won 14 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 35:16. (average 1.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, América de Cali won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 17:6. (average 1.9:0.7).

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Outrights of Colombian Primera A for now

America De Cali: 15.92% Alianza: 0.53%

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	America De Cali	8	6	2	0	20:4	16	20
20	Alianza	7	0	2	5	5:15	-10	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- América de Cali
Colombian Primera A
29.08.26	Jaguares de Córdoba - América de Cali	2:2 ✺
26.08.26	América de Cali - Junior Barranquilla	4:2 ✺
22.08.26	Independiente Santa Fe - América de Cali	0:0 ✺
09.08.26	América de Cali - Atlético Nacional	1:0 ✺
05.08.26	Once Caldas - América de Cali	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 TWTWW
- Alianza Valledupar
Colombian Primera A
29.08.26	Alianza Valledupar - Atlético Nacional	1:5 ✺
25.08.26	Cúcuta Deportivo - Alianza Valledupar	1:0 ✺
21.08.26	Alianza Valledupar - Deportivo Pereira	0:0 ✺
09.08.26	Alianza Valledupar - Atlético Bucaramanga	2:3 ✺
01.08.26	Alianza Valledupar - Deportes Tolima	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
28.02.26	Alianza Valledupar - América de Cali	0:3
31.08.25	Alianza Valledupar - América de Cali	1:0
15.03.25	América de Cali - Alianza Valledupar	3:0
22.09.24	Alianza Valledupar - América de Cali	0:1
09.03.24	América de Cali - Alianza Valledupar	2:0
Copa Sudamericana
06.03.24	Alianza Valledupar - América de Cali	2:1
Colombian Primera A
02.09.23	Alianza Valledupar - América de Cali	2:3

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