Match Info

Primera A - Clausura - Round 12

Date: 23 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero (Cali)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belarus	Sport TV
Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play, Win Sports
Russia	Viju+ Sport
Usa	Fanatiz, FOX Deportes, FOX Deportes, Fubo Latino 2, Fubo Latino


	América de Cali		Rionegro Águilas

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.2	6.5	Watch
	1.42	4.33	6.50
	1.45	3.85	7.3	Watch
	1.46	4.35	6.7
	1.36	4.49	9.5	Watch
	1.44	3.85	6.3
	1.46	4.05	6.75	Watch
	1.46	4.3	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.45)	4.18 ↑ (4.1)	6.97 ↓ (7.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

América de Cali
64.5%

Draw
22.2%

Rionegro Águilas
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.6%

22.9%

12.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.2%

22%

12%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

América de Cali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Rionegro Águilas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for América de Cali than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rionegro Águilas than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	0%	18.2%

América de Cali - Rionegro Águilas Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - América de Cali (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (1.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: América de Cali will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. América de Cali (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jean (G) 13. Castillo M. 2. Torres M. 3. Rosero D. 14. Mina M. 15. Carrascal R. (C) 5. Escobar J. 17. Lucumi J. 10. Guzman Y. 7. Murillo J. 21. Angel T.	1. Soto J. (G) 20. Higgins A. 4. Mosquera A. 3. Ontaneda J. 32. Mena J. 19. Lozano F. (C) 6. Rojas I. 24. Avalo Trejos J. E. 8. Ricaurte A. 7. Arizalas E. 9. Vasquez A.
Substitutes
31. Aponza J. 36. Camacho Anchico J. A. 6. Cavadia J. 12. Montoya J. (G) 88. Palacios J. 23. Quinones L. 18. Quintero Y. 24. Tovar C. 9. Valencia D.	34. Arango H. (G) 29. Blandon T. 30. Lara Vasquez N. 21. Marquez R. 13. Melendez J. 10. Noguera J. 16. Ramirez M. 15. Suarez Chalare F. A.
Coaches
Gonzalez D.	Robatto F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', Mena J. 🟨,
9', Carrascal R. 🟨,
25', Lozano F. 🟨,
27', 1 - 0, Guzman Y. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Castillo M. ↓, Quintero Y. ↑,
58', Murillo J. ↓, Quinones L. ↑,
65', Ricaurte A. ↓, Marquez R. ↑,
65', Avalo Trejos J. E. ↓, Noguera J. ↑,
67', Mina M. 🟨,
72', Arizalas E. 🟨,
74', Lucumi J. ↓, Palacios J. ↑,
78', Arizalas E. ↓, Suarez Chalare F. A. ↑,
81', Higgins A. ↓, Ramirez M. ↑,
84', Marquez R. 🟨,
86', Guzman Y. ↓, Valencia D. ↑,
86', Carrascal R. ↓, Tovar C. ↑,
90+3', Escobar J. 🟨,

Preview

The table topper faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 1st in the Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 11th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, América de Cali won 4.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

América de Cali may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

América de Cali carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, América de Cali has recorded 10 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 26:21 (averaging 1.3:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for América de Cali against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 14:10 goals (averaging 1.4:1 per game).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	America De Cali	12	8	3	1	24:7	17	27
10	Aguilas	12	3	6	3	16:17	-1	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- América de Cali
Colombian Primera A
20.09.26	Deportes Tolima - América de Cali	1:1 ✺
14.09.26	América de Cali - Deportivo Pasto	0:1 ✺
Colombian Copa
09.09.26	América de Cali - Deportivo Pereira	4:1 ✺
Colombian Primera A
03.09.26	América de Cali - Alianza Valledupar	3:0 ✺
29.08.26	Jaguares de Córdoba - América de Cali	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TLWWT
- Rionegro Águilas
Colombian Primera A
18.09.26	Rionegro Águilas - Deportivo Pereira	2:2 ✺
13.09.26	Atlético Nacional - Rionegro Águilas	2:0 ✺
06.09.26	Inter Bogotá - Rionegro Águilas	2:2 ✺
30.08.26	Rionegro Águilas - Boyacá Chicó	2:2 ✺
22.08.26	Rionegro Águilas - Millonarios	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
20.03.26	Rionegro Águilas - América de Cali	0:1
26.07.25	América de Cali - Rionegro Águilas	2:1
30.04.25	Rionegro Águilas - América de Cali	0:1
16.07.24	Rionegro Águilas - América de Cali	1:2
20.01.24	América de Cali - Rionegro Águilas	0:1
20.09.23	Rionegro Águilas - América de Cali	2:2
11.04.23	América de Cali - Rionegro Águilas	1:3

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