The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
América de Cali 72.1%
Draw 19.1%
Alianza Valledupar 8.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
64.5%
23%
12.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
67.6%
21.9%
12%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
América de Cali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in América de Cali's performance.
Alianza Valledupar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for América de Cali than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
América de Cali - Alianza Valledupar Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Jean (G) 26. Hurtado Torres Y. D. 24. Tovar C. 22. Hernandez N. 14. Mina M. 15. Carrascal R. (C) 5. Escobar J. 23. Quinones L. 10. Guzman Y. 7. Murillo J. 21. Angel T.
1. Wallens J. (G) 60. Rosales Y. 3. Moreno K. 5. Franco P. (C) 33. Lasso J. 7. Castillo J. 6. Meza Mercado E. W. 17. Pardo F. 15. Esparragoza C. 8. Munoz J. 18. Vergara C.
Substitutes
25. Balanta J. 30. Bertel O. 36. Camacho Anchico J. A. 6. Cavadia J. 17. Lucumi J. 12. Montoya J. (G) 2. Torres M. 77. Tortolero E. 9. Valencia D.
22. Figueroa J. 77. Martinez M. 4. Mosquera J. 88. Palacios L. 13. Simancas A. (G) 14. Villegas C. 32. Viveros J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Tovar C. ⚽, Hernandez N. (A),
45+3', 2 - 0, Angel T. ⚽, Guzman Y. (A),
45+5', Meza Mercado E. W. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Esparragoza C. ↓, Palacios L. ↑,
60', Meza Mercado E. W. ↓, Mosquera J. ↑,
63', 3 - 0, Guzman Y. (Penalty Awarded),
63', Murillo J. ↓, Tortolero E. ↑,
63', Angel T. ↓, Valencia D. ↑,
63', Quinones L. ↓, Lucumi J. ↑,
74', Vergara C. ↓, Martinez M. ↑,
74', Pardo F. ↓, Villegas C. ↑,
74', Guzman Y. ↓, Camacho Anchico J. A. ↑,
74', Escobar J. ↓, Cavadia J. ↑,
75', Mina M. 🟨,
84', Castillo J. ↓, Viveros J. ↑,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 18).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, América de Cali won 4.
América de Cali is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Alianza is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Recently, Alianza has had a series of home games.
In this match, América de Cali is the undisputed favorite.
We predict that América de Cali will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, América de Cali won 14 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 35:16. (average 1.8:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, América de Cali won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 17:6. (average 1.9:0.7).
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Jean (G) 
Hurtado Torres Y. D. 
Murillo J. 
Valencia D. 
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