The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
América de Propriá 23.3%
Draw 34.3%
Sergipe 42.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31%
30.6%
38.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.9%
30.5%
38.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
América de Propriá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that América de Propriá's form might have worsened.
Sergipe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for América de Propriá than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for América de Propriá, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sergipe than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
América de Propriá - Sergipe Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - América de Propriá (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. América de Propriá (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Guiga (G) 8. Danielzinho 16. Dudu 10. Obina 15. Paulo Miranda 9. Piaui 5. Recife Felipe 2. Renato 21. Silva de Souza Junior A. C. 11. Wesley Ceifador 3. Yuri Mamute
1. Filipe Santos (G) 11. Andrey 3. Carioca 10. Juliano Fabro 7. Lucas Mineiro 5. Matheus Neris (C) 8. Paulo Henrique 2. Rafael Luiz 4. Victor Massaia 6. Wilker V. 9. Ze Artur
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
8', Ze Artur (Penalty Awarded),
30', Lucas Mineiro 🟨,
41', Matheus Neris 🟨,
45+4', 1 - 0, Obina ⚽,
45+7', Recife Felipe 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', Paulo Miranda 🟨,
55', Wesley Ceifador 🟨,
56', 1 - 1, Juliano Fabro ⚽,
60', Dudu 🟨,
74', Lucas Mineiro ↓, Betinho ↑,
74', Ze Artur ↓, Venicius ↑,
79', Juliano Fabro ↓, Thierry ↑,
84', Paulo Henrique ↓, Dutra ↑,
84', Rafael Luiz ↓, Rodrigo Rosa ↑,
Preview
First leg.
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Sergipano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Sergipano (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
América de Propriá has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Sergipe is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Sergipe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, América de Propriá won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).
Including home match between the teams, América de Propriá won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
Watch
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