Match Info

Date: 18 August 2021, Wednesday


	América de Quito		Cumbayá

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.95	3.1
	2.3	2.8	3.1
	2.29	2.8	3.15
	2.39	2.93	3.28
	2.35	2.75	3.1
	2.34	2.92	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.4)	2.86 ↓ (3)	3.15 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

América de Quito
39.1%

Draw
31.9%

Cumbayá
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

29.9%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

23%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

América de Quito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Cumbayá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for América de Quito than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with América de Quito that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cumbayá than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cumbayá could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

América de Quito - Cumbayá Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

América de Quito is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cumbayá in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

América de Quito will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches América de Quito won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams América de Quito won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- América de Quito
Ecuadorian Serie B
10.08.21	Independiente Juniors - América de Quito	1:2 ✺
03.08.21	América de Quito - Búhos ULVR	2:0 ✺
28.07.21	Gualaceo - América de Quito	1:0 ✺
22.07.21	América de Quito - El Nacional	1:1 ✺
17.07.21	Atlético Santo Domingo - América de Quito	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WWLTW
- Cumbayá FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
10.08.21	Cumbayá - Atlético Porteño	2:0 ✺
03.08.21	Chacaritas - Cumbayá	0:1 ✺
27.07.21	Independiente Juniors - Cumbayá	0:1 ✺
22.07.21	Cumbayá - Gualaceo	2:1 ✺
18.07.21	Búhos ULVR - Cumbayá	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
07.07.21	Cumbayá - América de Quito	0:0
09.06.21	América de Quito - Cumbayá	2:1
15.04.21	Cumbayá - América de Quito	1:0

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