Match Info

ECUADOR: SERIE B - ROUND 20

Date: 11 July 2023, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa (Quito)


	América de Quito		Deportivo Macará

	1	X	2
	4.8	3.7	1.57
	4.8	3.8	1.55
	4.95	3.86	1.62
	5.25	3.5	1.57
	5.3	3.9	1.56	Watch
	4.7	3.8	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.97 ↓ (5.75)	3.76 ↓ (3.85)	1.58 ↑ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

América de Quito
18.3%

Draw
24.2%

Deportivo Macará
57.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16%

23.9%

60.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.7%

23.5%

61.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

América de Quito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Deportivo Macará has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for América de Quito than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Macará than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

América de Quito - Deportivo Macará Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

América de Quito has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Macará is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Macará have a series of home games.

In this match Macará is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches América de Quito won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-4.

Including matches at home between the teams América de Quito won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- América de Quito
Ecuadorian Serie B
07.07.23	Chacaritas - América de Quito	1:1 ✺
01.07.23	América de Quito - Vinotinto	1:4 ✺
27.06.23	Búhos ULVR - América de Quito	3:1 ✺
24.06.23	América de Quito - Chacaritas	2:3 ✺
21.06.23	Imbabura - América de Quito	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TLLLL
- Deportivo Macará
Ecuadorian Serie B
05.07.23	Deportivo Macará - Imbabura	0:2 ✺
02.07.23	Deportivo Macará - Chacaritas	2:1 ✺
29.06.23	Independiente Juniors - Deportivo Macará	2:1 ✺
25.06.23	Deportivo Macará - Imbabura	2:0 ✺
22.06.23	Deportivo Macará - 9 de Octubre	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
07.06.23	Deportivo Macará - América de Quito	1:0
12.04.23	América de Quito - Deportivo Macará	1:1
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
09.08.19	Deportivo Macará - América de Quito	1:0
16.03.19	América de Quito - Deportivo Macará	0:1

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