The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
América de Quito 28.8%
Draw 32.2%
El Nacional 39%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.6%
32.2%
33.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.6%
33.1%
32.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
América de Quito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that América de Quito's form might have worsened.
El Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting El Nacional's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for América de Quito than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for América de Quito, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Nacional than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for El Nacional, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
23.1%
61.5%
15.4%
América de Quito - El Nacional Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. América de Quito will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). El Nacional will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35% – 88%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches América de Quito won 3.
At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.
América de Quito could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
Last 9 head-to-head matches América de Quito won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-8.
Including matches at home between the teams América de Quito won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.
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