Match Info

Stars League - Round 21

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday


	Newroz		Al-Zawraa

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.05	2.18
	3.66	3.06	1.98
	3.45	3.15	2.06
	3.5	2.8	2.05
	3.9	3.23	1.99	Watch
	3.2	3	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.47 ↑ (3.16)	3.05 ↓ (3.08)	2.08 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newroz
26.3%

Draw
29.9%

Al-Zawraa
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

29.7%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

27.5%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newroz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Al-Zawraa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newroz than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Zawraa than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Zawraa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Newroz - Al Zawraa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Hashem A. ⚽,
29', 1 - 1, Neto Acara ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
88', 1 - 2, Riascos B. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newroz won 2.

Newroz is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Al-Zawraa is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Al-Zawraa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Al-Zawraa will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Newroz won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1.1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Newroz won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Al Zawraa	8	5	3	0	15:3	12	18
4	Newroz	8	4	3	1	13:4	9	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newroz Sulaymaniyah
Iraqi Premier League
02.03.26	Duhok - Newroz	1:2 ✺
20.02.26	Newroz - Najaf	2:0 ✺
13.02.26	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Newroz	2:1 ✺
06.02.26	Al Mosul - Newroz	0:2 ✺
31.01.26	Newroz - Diyala	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 WWLWW
- Al-Zawraa
Iraqi Premier League
02.03.26	Al-Zawraa - Al Mosul	1:1 ✺
26.02.26	Al-Zawraa - Al-Shorta Baghdad	1:2 ✺
21.02.26	Al-Karkh - Al-Zawraa	3:1 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
17.02.26	Al Wasl - Al-Zawraa	4:2 ET ✺
10.02.26	Al-Zawraa - Al Wasl	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
21.11.25	Al-Zawraa - Newroz	2:1
15.02.25	Newroz - Al-Zawraa	1:1
01.11.24	Al-Zawraa - Newroz	1:0
01.07.24	Newroz - Al-Zawraa	1:0
26.10.23	Al-Zawraa - Newroz	0:2
19.04.23	Al-Zawraa - Newroz	3:1
30.10.22	Newroz - Al-Zawraa	2:4

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