Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie B - Round 5

Date: 15 May 2024, Wednesday

Location: Castelão (Fortaleza)

Referee: Gomes A. (Bra)


	Ceará		Amazonas

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.6	6.25	Watch
	1.55	3.7	5.75
	1.57	3.75	6
	1.62	3.65	7.08
	1.61	3.58	7.08
	1.57	3.7	5.8
	1.59	3.74	5.92	Watch
	1.58	3.55	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.59)	3.66 ↑ (3.65)	6.24 ↑ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ceará
59.2%

Draw
25.7%

Amazonas
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

25.5%

15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7%

24.6%

16.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ceará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Amazonas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amazonas than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Ceará - Amazonas Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ceará will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Richard (G) 2. Rai Ramos 42. Matheus Felipe 40. Ramon Menezes (C) 4. David Ricardo 79. Matheus Bahia 8. De Lucca 99. Guilherme Castilho 31. Barcelo F. 16. Erick Pulga 11. Aylon	12. Marcao (G) 2. Patric 3. Miranda 4. Diogo Silva 6. Fabiano 17. Guilherme Xavier 15. Wendell 10. Rafael Tavares (C) 22. Enio 7. Jo 11. Matheus Serafim
Substitutes
27. Bruninho 94. Bruno Ferreira (G) 7. Castro F. 77. Janderson 5. Jean Irmer 55. Jonathan Jesus 10. Lucas Mugni 12. Maycon Cleiton (G) 21. Paulo Victor 6. Ramos R. 26. Richardson 73. Saulo Mineiro	9. Bruno Lopes 8. Diego Torres 1. Edson Mardden (G) 13. Ezequiel 70. Igor Bolt 14. Ivan Alvarino 18. Juda Aguiar da Silva 23. Matheus Melo 20. Para 21. Renan Castro 19. William Barbio
Coaches
Vagner Mancini	Adilson Batista

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Ramon Menezes ⚽, Guilherme Castilho (A),
18', 2 - 0, Erick Pulga ⚽, De Lucca (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', David Ricardo ↓, Jonathan Jesus ↑,
54', Guilherme Castilho 🟨,
55', Guilherme Castilho ↓, Lucas Mugni ↑,
55', Jo ↓, Igor Bolt ↑,
56', Enio ↓, Bruno Lopes ↑,
56', Wendell ↓, Diego Torres ↑,
60', Miranda 🟨,
62', 2 - 1, Diego Torres ⚽, Bruno Lopes (A),
70', Matheus Serafim ↓, Matheus Melo ↑,
71', Rafael Tavares ↓, William Barbio ↑,
71', Barcelo F. ↓, Saulo Mineiro ↑,
77', Diogo Silva 🟨,
79', Aylon ↓, Castro F. ↑,
79', Matheus Bahia ↓, Paulo Victor ↑,
90', Saulo Mineiro 🟨,
90+2', Diego Torres 🟨,
90+3', Matheus Felipe 🟨,
90+9', Igor Bolt 🟨,
90+9', Saulo Mineiro 🟨,

Preview

Recent matches Ceará is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Amazonas is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Ceará is a favorite.

There will not play in Ceará: Bruninho (Injury) Daniel Mazerochi (Injury) Saulo Mineiro (Injury)

There will not play in Amazonas: Guilherme Mantuan (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ceará SC
Brazilian Serie B
10.05.24	Grêmio Novorizontino - Ceará	0:3 ✺
06.05.24	Ceará - CRB Maceio	2:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil
02.05.24	CRB Maceio - Ceará	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
29.04.24	Mirassol - Ceará	3:2 ✺
20.04.24	Ceará - Goiás	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WTLLT
- Amazonas FC
Brazilian Serie B
11.05.24	Amazonas - Santos	1:0 ✺
06.05.24	Ponte Preta - Amazonas	3:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
01.05.24	Flamengo - Amazonas	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
27.04.24	CRB Maceio - Amazonas	0:0 ✺
20.04.24	Amazonas - Sport Recife	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WLLTL

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