Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie B - Round 7

Date: 28 May 2024, Tuesday

Location: Estádio Municipal Carlos Zamith (Manaus)

Referee: Belence Alves dos Prazeres Filho P. (Bra)


	Amazonas		Mirassol

	1	X	2
	3.2	3	2.38	Watch
	3.1	2.87	2.3
	3.25	2.95	2.35
	3.46	2.9	2.46
	3.46	2.9	2.47
	3.2	3	2.3
	3.25	3.04	2.34	Watch
	3.2	2.95	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↓ (3.4)	2.95 ↓ (3.08)	2.37 ↑ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amazonas
28.7%

Draw
31.7%

Mirassol
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.5%

30.4%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8%

29.6%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amazonas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Mirassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amazonas than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	50%	40%

Amazonas - Mirassol Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Amazonas will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Mirassol will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Marcao (G) 2. Ezequiel 3. Ivan Alvarino 4. Diogo Silva 6. Fabiano 23. Matheusinho 10. Rafael Tavares 17. Guilherme Xavier 15. Wendell 11. Matheus Serafim 99. Sassa (C)	23. Alex Muralha (G) 11. Negueba 19. Lucas Ramon 34. Joao Victor 4. Luiz Otavio 28. Warley 8. Danielzinho 25. Neto Moura 27. Gabriel (C) 49. Dellatorre 7. Fernandinho
Substitutes
9. Bruno Lopes 14. Cauan Barros 8. Diego Torres 1. Edson Mardden (G) 22. Enio 70. Igor Bolt 7. Jo 5. Jorge Jimenez 20. Para 21. Renan Castro 13. Thiago Spice 19. William Barbio	2. Alex Silva 15. Artur 10. Chico Kim 21. Diego Goncalves 14. Isaque 3. Lucas Gazal 6. PH 9. Quirino 1. Vanderlei (G)
Coaches
Adilson Batista	Mozart

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Guilherme Xavier 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Matheusinho ↓, Igor Bolt ↑,
59', Rafael Tavares ↓, Enio ↑,
59', Guilherme Xavier ↓, Diego Torres ↑,
60', Wendell 🟨,
61', Warley 🟨,
63', Gabriel ↓, Isaque ↑,
63', Lucas Ramon ↓, Alex Silva ↑,
68', Wendell ↓, Jorge Jimenez ↑,
73', Dellatorre ↓, Quirino ↑,
74', Fernandinho ↓, Chico Kim ↑,
74', 1 - 0, Jorge Jimenez ⚽,
79', Neto Moura ↓, PH ↑,
86', Sassa 🟨,
87', Sassa ↓, Para ↑,
90+6', Jorge Jimenez 🟨,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 8).

Amazonas is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mirassol is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mirassol could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Amazonas: Guilherme Mantuan (Injury)

There will not play in Mirassol: Yuri Lima (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amazonas FC
Copa do Brasil
22.05.24	Amazonas - Flamengo	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
18.05.24	Amazonas - Paysandu	1:1 ✺
15.05.24	Ceará - Amazonas	2:1 ✺
11.05.24	Amazonas - Santos	1:0 ✺
06.05.24	Ponte Preta - Amazonas	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LTLWL
- Mirassol
Brazilian Serie B
19.05.24	Mirassol - Ituano	2:0 ✺
15.05.24	América Mineiro - Mirassol	0:0 ✺
12.05.24	Mirassol - Paysandu	2:1 ✺
07.05.24	Botafogo SP - Mirassol	0:0 ✺
29.04.24	Mirassol - Ceará	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WTWTW

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