Match Info

Serie B Superbet - Round 34

Date: 27 October 2025, Monday

Location: Ligga Arena (Curitiba)

Referee: Vasconcelos B. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+


	Athletico Paranaense		Amazonas

	1	X	2
	1.37	4.5	7.5	Watch
	1.36	4.45	8.4
	1.35	4.63	9.02
	1.40	4.32	7.26	Watch
	1.4	4.5	7.5	Watch
	1.37	4.5	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↑ (1.37)	4.48 ↓ (4.5)	7.86 ↑ (7.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Athletico Paranaense
67.5%

Draw
20.7%

Amazonas
11.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.2%

20.5%

12.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.1%

19.4%

11.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletico Paranaense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Amazonas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amazonas than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

Athletico Paranaense - Amazonas Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Athletico PR will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Amazonas will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 2nd Half - Athletico PR (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Athletico PR (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Athletico PR (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Athletico Paranaense will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Athletico PR (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Santos (C) 29. Benavidez G. 13. Teran C. 65. Arthur Dias 61. Leo Derik 53. Dudu Kogitzki 5. Felipinho 17. Mendoza S. 21. Leozinho 20. Julimar 27. Alan Kardec	33. Renan (G) 30. Castrillon N. 14. Ivan Alvarino 3. Leo Coelho 6. Fabiano 21. Erick Varao 26. Gabriel Domingos 55. Philippe Guimaraes 7. Ramirez K. 19. Henrique Almeida (C) 29. Torres D.
Substitutes
33. Aguirre Tabares J. F. 6. Fernando 8. Giuliano 57. Joao Cruz 3. Leo 19. Luiz Fernando 22. Madson 1. Mycael (G) 88. Patrick 31. Raul 50. Renan Viana 7. Velasco K.	15. Digao 17. Guilherme Xavier 1. Joao Lopes (G) 8. Kiko 9. Luan Silva 10. Rafael Tavares 4. Rafael Vitor 77. Robertinho 11. Torres J. 5. Vasquez L. 20. William Barbio
Coaches
Hellmann O.	Marcio Zanardi

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Julimar ⚽, Felipinho (A),
29', Alan Kardec 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Gabriel Domingos ↓, Torres J. ↑,
46', Philippe Guimaraes ↓, Rafael Tavares ↑,
46', Alan Kardec ↓, Luiz Fernando ↑,
46', Dudu Kogitzki ↓, Patrick ↑,
56', Ramirez K. ↓, Luan Silva ↑,
57', Luan Silva 🟨,
61', Castrillon N. 🟨,
71', 2 - 0, Julimar ⚽, Leozinho (A),
75', Julimar ↓, Velasco K. ↑,
77', Torres D. ↓, Guilherme Xavier ↑,
77', Henrique Almeida ↓, Kiko ↑,
85', Leozinho ↓, Joao Cruz ↑,
89', Teran C. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Athletico PR may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Athletico PR is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Athletico PR: Esquivel L. (Hamstring Injury) Renan Peixoto (Knee Injury) Viveros K. (Yellow Cards) Zapelli B. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Amazonas: Alyson (Inactive) Dener (Inactive) Fernando Neto (Inactive) Gabriel Novaes (Inactive) Iverton (Inactive) Thomas Luciano (Inactive)

There are questionable in Amazonas: Ramirez K. (Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Athletico PR won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletico Paranaense
Brazilian Serie B
19.10.25	Coritiba - Athletico Paranaense	0:0 ✺
14.10.25	Athletico Paranaense - Avaí	1:1 ✺
09.10.25	Remo - Athletico Paranaense	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Atlético Goianiense - Athletico Paranaense	3:0 ✺
27.09.25	Athletico Paranaense - Operário Ferroviario	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TTLLW
- Amazonas FC
Brazilian Serie B
17.10.25	Amazonas - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:0 ✺
12.10.25	Vila Nova - Amazonas	1:0 ✺
07.10.25	Amazonas - Criciúma	2:1 ✺
03.10.25	Athletic Club - Amazonas	2:2 ✺
29.09.25	Amazonas - Chapecoense	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
05.07.25	Amazonas - Athletico Paranaense	0:1

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