Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 30

Date: 10 April 2026, Friday

Location: Stade de la Licorne (Amiens)

Referee: Perreau Niel A. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect


	Amiens		Pau

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.25	2.5	Watch
	2.48	3.45	2.58	Watch
	2.36	3.81	2.86
	2.42	3.63	2.66	Watch
	2.45	3.4	2.5
	2.43	3.64	2.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (3.11)	3.53 ↑ (3.45)	2.62 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amiens
38.3%

Draw
26.3%

Pau
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

26.8%

43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

26.5%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amiens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Amiens's performance.

Pau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pau might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amiens than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Amiens that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pau than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pau could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
43.7%	25%	31.2%

Amiens - Pau Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Amiens will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Pau will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Amiens: 19.1% – 73.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pau (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Pau (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Pau (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Sauvage A. (G) 15. Nduquidi J. 88. Kore Y. 34. Bakayoko S. 44. Louis C. 10. Kandil N. 45. Fofana I. 20. Kaiboue K. 7. Hamache I. 14. Leautey A. (C) 90. Ntamack S.	30. Salles E. (G) 26. Glossoa N. 97. Meddah D. 25. Ruiz J. (C) 19. Kante 3. Kalulu J. 84. Touzghar R. 21. Beusnard S. 20. Anziani J. 18. Sadik O. 9. Dong K.
Substitutes
46. Aissat O. 80. Alvero S. 11. Averlant T. 40. Bernardoni P. (G) 39. Chabane A. 27. Lutin R. 29. Sane I.	8. Basse S. 14. Bobichon A. 6. Fall C. 11. Gasnier K. 34. Lebouath S. 33. Mbaye A. 22. Raveyre N. (G)
Coaches
Pochat A.	Debes T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Dong K. ⚽, Salles E. (A),
30', Sadik O. 🟨,
34', Bakayoko S. 🟥,
42', Dong K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kandil N. ↓, Chabane A. ↑,
48', Nduquidi J. 🟨,
57', Hamache I. ↓, Sane I. ↑,
57', Leautey A. ↓, Averlant T. ↑,
65', Touzghar R. ↓, Fall C. ↑,
66', Ntamack S. ↓, Aissat O. ↑,
80', Nduquidi J. ↓, Lutin R. ↑,
88', Dong K. ↓, Bobichon A. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Ligue 2 (Relegation) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Amiens won 3.

Amiens is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Pau's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Amiens: Appiah A. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Lo A. (Inactive) Lobry V. (Knee Injury) Mlakar J. (Inactive)

There will not play in Pau: Briancon A. (Inactive) Gaspar J. (Inactive) Karamoko S. (Inactive) Sissoko O. (Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Amiens won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.4:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Amiens won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.8:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Pau FC	7	2	2	3	6:6	0	8

Last Results with these Odds

Pau - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 43.38%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amiens SC
French Ligue 2
03.04.26	Bastia - Amiens	1:1 ✺
20.03.26	Amiens - Le Mans	3:4 ✺
13.03.26	Guingamp - Amiens	1:0 ✺
06.03.26	Boulogne - Amiens	4:2 ✺
02.03.26	Amiens - Troyes	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 TLLLL
- Pau FC
French Ligue 2
06.04.26	Le Mans - Pau	4:0 ✺
20.03.26	Pau - Montpellier	0:0 ✺
13.03.26	Clermont - Pau	0:1 ✺
06.03.26	Pau - Bastia	2:2 ✺
28.02.26	Pau - Saint-Étienne	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
12.12.25	Pau - Amiens	1:2
02.05.25	Amiens - Pau	4:2
25.10.24	Pau - Amiens	0:2
30.03.24	Amiens - Pau	2:3
30.09.23	Pau - Amiens	1:0
04.03.23	Amiens - Pau	1:0
05.11.22	Pau - Amiens	2:1

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