Match Info

Cymru South - Round 10

Date: 10 October 2025, Friday


	Ammanford		Carmarthen Town

	1	X	2
	2.68	3.4	2.25
	2.76	3.53	2.27
	2.66	4.06	2.24
	2.46	3.5	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.55)	3.62 ↑ (3.51)	2.31 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ammanford
34.8%

Draw
25.4%

Carmarthen Town
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

25.7%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

26.1%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ammanford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Carmarthen Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ammanford than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carmarthen Town than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Ammanford - Carmarthen Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, Giardelli A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', 1 - 1, Dyson T. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ammanford won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Carmarthen Town has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Ammanford won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:21. (average 1.3:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Ammanford won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:12. (average 1.3:3).

Last Results with these Odds

Ammanford - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 35.36%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ammanford AFC
Welsh Cymru South
03.10.25	Trethomas Bluebirds - Ammanford	1:1 ✺
26.09.25	Ammanford - Pontypridd United	1:1 ✺
12.09.25	Trefelin - Ammanford	2:0 ✺
05.09.25	Ammanford - Caerau Ely	3:2 ✺
25.08.25	Aberystwyth Town - Ammanford	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TTLWT
- Carmarthen Town
Welsh Cymru South
04.10.25	Carmarthen Town - Cambrian United	0:0 ✺
27.09.25	Carmarthen Town - Newport City	1:0 ✺
12.09.25	Carmarthen Town - Treowen Stars	1:1 ✺
05.09.25	Pontypridd United - Carmarthen Town	3:1 ✺
25.08.25	Carmarthen Town - Baglan Dragons	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
01.01.25	Carmarthen Town - Ammanford	3:0
23.08.24	Ammanford - Carmarthen Town	2:3
20.01.24	Carmarthen Town - Ammanford	0:1
06.10.23	Ammanford - Carmarthen Town	2:2
02.01.23	Carmarthen Town - Ammanford	2:2
27.12.22	Ammanford - Carmarthen Town	0:4
18.04.22	Carmarthen Town - Ammanford	4:0

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