Match Info

Cymru South - Round 22

Date: 13 February 2026, Friday


	Ammanford		Trethomas Bluebirds

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.95	4.75
	1.53	4.24	5.04
	1.59	4.13	5.06	Watch
	1.5	4	4.75
	1.61	4.68	4.26
	1.52	4	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.45)	4.17 ↓ (4.2)	4.81 ↓ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ammanford
59.1%

Draw
21.9%

Trethomas Bluebirds
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.6%

21.3%

17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

19.6%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ammanford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Trethomas Bluebirds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ammanford than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ammanford, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trethomas Bluebirds than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Ammanford - Trethomas Bluebirds Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 and 13).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Trethomas Bluebirds may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ammanford is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ammanford won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Ammanford won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Trethomas Bluebirds	9	2	4	3	17:17	0	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ammanford AFC
Welsh Cymru South
07.02.26	Caerau Ely - Ammanford	3:1 ✺
23.01.26	Ammanford - Trefelin	0:4 ✺
09.01.26	Pontypridd United - Ammanford	0:3 ✺
03.01.26	Ammanford - Ynyshir Albions	2:0 ✺
26.12.25	Carmarthen Town - Ammanford	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LLWWW
- Trethomas Bluebirds
Welsh Cymru South
30.01.26	Trethomas Bluebirds - Cwmbran Celtic	2:0 ✺
23.01.26	Trethomas Bluebirds - Caerau Ely	1:5 ✺
09.01.26	Trefelin - Trethomas Bluebirds	3:1 ✺
26.12.25	Treowen Stars - Trethomas Bluebirds	2:0 ✺
20.12.25	Trethomas Bluebirds - Baglan Dragons	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
03.10.25	Trethomas Bluebirds - Ammanford	1:1
24.01.25	Trethomas Bluebirds - Ammanford	1:1
10.08.24	Ammanford - Trethomas Bluebirds	2:3

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