Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 23

Date: 9 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Reino de León (León)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Leonesa		Amorebieta

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.82	7.92
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↑ (1.36)	4.82 ↑ (4.56)	7.92 ↑ (6.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leonesa
68.5%

Draw
19.6%

Amorebieta
11.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.9%

19.9%

13.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.9%

19%

12.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leonesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Amorebieta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Leonesa - Amorebieta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Banuz M. (G) 17. Martinez A. 5. Fornos Q. 3. Satrustegui E. 18. Lanchi 22. Pibe 6. Presa K. (C) 14. Bicho 21. Artola J. 10. Chacon L. 9. Justo M.	1. Marino U. (C) 2. Carbonell A. 22. Yuste A. 4. Kortazar M. 20. Coto E. 17. Munoz I. 14. Ben Hamed N. 16. Masllorens J. 11. Hervias P. 8. Vicandi A. 7. Selma D.
Substitutes
20. Alba T. 8. Barri 7. Calderon C. 19. Escobar A. 2. Garcia V. 16. Maestre S. 4. Rodri Suarez 26. Ruiz J. (G) 15. Ruiz V. 11. Samanes S.	5. Amelibia J. 10. Berto 19. Bravo Fernandez M. 23. Calavera J. 3. Camacho S. 13. Campos G. (G) 18. Coulibaly A. 9. Kaxe 21. Marin A. 24. Perez E. 12. Sola J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Vicandi A. ⚽,
8', Lanchi 🟨,
25', Pibe 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 1, Lanchi ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Artola J. ↓, Escobar A. ↑,
57', Martinez A. 🟨,
58', Hervias P. ↓, Camacho S. ↑,
58', Presa K. ↓, Maestre S. ↑,
58', Bicho ↓, Barri ↑,
71', Lanchi ↓, Garcia V. ↑,
75', Vicandi A. ↓, Perez E. ↑,
75', Munoz I. ↓, Berto ↑,
80', 2 - 1, Justo M. ⚽,
82', Justo M. ↓, Samanes S. ↑,
86', Coto E. ↓, Marin A. ↑,
90+1', 🟨,
90+4', Escobar A. 🟨,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Leonesa is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Amorebieta is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Leonesa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Leonesa is certain favorite.

Our prediction for today's Leonesa to win the game is with odds 1.4.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Leonesa won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1.7:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Leonesa won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
01.02.25	Sestao - Leonesa	1:1 ✺
26.01.25	Leonesa - Unionistas de Salamanca	4:3 ✺
19.01.25	Lugo - Leonesa	1:4 ✺
11.01.25	Leonesa - Barcelona B	1:1 ✺
22.12.24	Real Unión de Irun - Leonesa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TWWTW
- SD Amorebieta
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
02.02.25	Amorebieta - Arenteiro	3:0 ✺
26.01.25	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Amorebieta	1:1 ✺
19.01.25	Amorebieta - Tarazona	2:2 ✺
12.01.25	Osasuna B - Amorebieta	3:0 ✺
22.12.24	FC Andorra - Amorebieta	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
03.11.24	Amorebieta - Leonesa	1:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
15.01.20	Amorebieta - Leonesa	1:3
24.08.19	Leonesa - Amorebieta	1:1

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