Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 24

Date: 15 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Campo de Lasesarre (Barakaldo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Barakaldo		FC Andorra

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.9	3
	2.25	3	3
	2.42	3.1	3.4
	2.29	2.95	3.19	Watch
	2.32	3.09	3.19
	2.25	3	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.03)	3.01 ↓ (3.02)	3.13 ↓ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barakaldo
40%

Draw
30.6%

FC Andorra
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

29.9%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

29.2%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barakaldo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

FC Andorra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barakaldo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Andorra than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Barakaldo - FC Andorra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Perez U. (G) 2. de Jesus B. 12. Artetxe M. 3. Garcia B. 16. Lopez O. 6. Naveira U. 8. Huidobro J. 22. Bujan U. 19. Isuskiza V. 18. Santiago P. 11. Revilla A.	1. Ratti N. (G) 17. Clemente J. 23. Alende D. 18. Bombardo Poyato M. 22. Royo M. 9. Nieto M. 16. Pena A. 3. Busquets O. 14. Molina S. 21. Cerda J. 11. Lauti
Substitutes
23. Bilbao L. 4. Jelbat A. 20. Martinez J. 5. Molina E. 15. Muguruza A. 7. Pedernales I. 1. Tena J. (G) 10. Torre I. 14. Txoperena U. 21. Uriarte K. 9. Valino A.	26. Achhiba B. 19. Almpanis C. 10. Alvaro 24. Casadesus P. 7. Fuentes J. 13. Oier (G) 15. Redondo L. 27. Rodriguez I. 4. Trigueros P. 12. Villahermosa D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
6', 1 - 0, Santiago P. ⚽,
22', Royo M. 🟨,
41', Lauti 🟨,
43', 1 - 1, Nieto M. ⚽,
45', 1 - 2, Cerda J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', Clemente J. 🟨,
58', Garcia B. 🟥,
61', Pena A. 🟨,
62', Isuskiza V. ↓, Muguruza A. ↑,
62', Bujan U. ↓, Bilbao L. ↑,
67', Royo M. ↓, Rodriguez I. ↑,
67', Busquets O. ↓, Villahermosa D. ↑,
72', Naveira U. ↓, Molina E. ↑,
72', Huidobro J. ↓, Valino A. ↑,
72', Revilla A. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
72', 2 - 2, Molina E. ⚽,
80', Nieto M. ↓, Redondo L. ↑,
82', de Jesus B. 🟨,
90', Cerda J. ↓, Fuentes J. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 3, Pena A. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 8).

Barakaldo is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Andorra is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Barakaldo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Barakaldo will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Barakaldo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barakaldo CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
07.02.25	Ponferradina - Barakaldo	0:1 ✺
02.02.25	Barakaldo - Real Unión de Irun	0:2 ✺
19.01.25	Barakaldo - Ourense CF	1:1 ✺
12.01.25	Athletic Bilbao B - Barakaldo	0:2 ✺
22.12.24	Barakaldo - Osasuna B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WLTWW
- FC Andorra
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
09.02.25	FC Andorra - Lugo	2:0 ✺
02.02.25	FC Andorra - Ourense CF	0:0 ✺
26.01.25	Ponferradina - FC Andorra	1:0 ✺
19.01.25	FC Andorra - Athletic Bilbao B	0:2 ✺
10.01.25	Arenteiro - FC Andorra	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
10.11.24	FC Andorra - Barakaldo	1:0

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