Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 29

Date: 23 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Campo Municipal de Urritxe (Amorebieta-Etxano)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Amorebieta		Osasuna B

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.9	3
	1.9	3.3	3.4
	2.27	3.2	3.05
	2.2	3.34	3	Watch
	2.27	3.24	3
	2.27	3.2	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.29)	3.2 ↓ (3.27)	3.08 ↑ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amorebieta
41.7%

Draw
28.6%

Osasuna B
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

28%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

27.7%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amorebieta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Osasuna B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osasuna B than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Amorebieta - Osasuna B Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Amorebieta will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Osasuna B will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Marino U. (G) 20. Coto E. 5. Amelibia J. 22. Yuste A. 4. Kortazar M. 3. Camacho S. 12. Sola J. 16. Masllorens J. 14. Ben Hamed N. 21. Marin A. 7. Selma D.	1. Stamatakis D. (G) 22. Arguibide I. 4. Garriz I. 18. Espejo D. 24. Sierra I. 20. Arroyo R. 6. Echegoyen M. 21. Garcia J. 8. Osambela A. 14. Huarte X. 16. Ogbuehi S.
Substitutes
19. Bravo Fernandez M. 23. Calavera J. 2. Carbonell A. 18. Coulibaly A. 11. Hervias P. 9. Kaxe 25. Montoya J. (G) 17. Munoz I. 24. Perez E. 8. Vicandi A.	23. Lopez N. 11. Lorenzo N. 7. Lumbreras C. 10. Morales A. 17. Moreno P. 5. Mutilva C. 12. Pedroarena M. 9. Sancho D. 15. Santos U. 13. Valencia P. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Amelibia J. ⚽,
18', Yuste A. 🟨,
29', 🟨,
44', Marin A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Garriz I. ↓, Pedroarena M. ↑,
55', Coto E. 🟨,
59', 🟨,
63', Marin A. ↓, Kaxe ↑,
63', Selma D. ↓, Vicandi A. ↑,
68', 1 - 1, Espejo D. ⚽,
74', Garcia J. ↓, Sancho D. ↑,
75', Ogbuehi S. ↓, Lorenzo N. ↑,
75', Sola J. ↓, Munoz I. ↑,
77', Camacho S. 🟨,
84', Coto E. ↓, Perez E. ↑,
84', Camacho S. ↓, Hervias P. ↑,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Amorebieta won 2.

Recent matches Amorebieta is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Osasuna B is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Osasuna B could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Amorebieta will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Amorebieta won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14:13 (average 1.4:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Amorebieta won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:3 (average 1.6:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Amorebieta
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
16.03.25	Amorebieta - FC Andorra	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Unionistas de Salamanca - Amorebieta	1:0 ✺
01.03.25	Amorebieta - Real Unión de Irun	1:0 ✺
22.02.25	Sestao - Amorebieta	1:0 ✺
16.02.25	Amorebieta - Ponferradina	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 TLWLW
- Osasuna B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
15.03.25	Osasuna B - Athletic Bilbao B	1:1 ✺
09.03.25	Barcelona B - Osasuna B	0:2 ✺
02.03.25	Osasuna B - Leonesa	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	Tarazona - Osasuna B	1:1 ✺
16.02.25	Gimnástica Segoviana - Osasuna B	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 32.1 TWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
12.01.25	Osasuna B - Amorebieta	3:0
Club Friendly
19.07.23	Amorebieta - Osasuna B	2:1
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
18.02.23	Amorebieta - Osasuna B	2:0
11.09.22	Osasuna B - Amorebieta	2:1
Club Friendly
28.07.21	Amorebieta - Osasuna B	0:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
01.02.20	Osasuna B - Amorebieta	3:2
14.09.19	Amorebieta - Osasuna B	1:0

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