Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 2

Date: 8 April 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero (Cali)

Referee: Valenzuela J. (Ven)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Paramount+
Canada	beIN Connect
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Indonesia	Mola TV
Israel	Sport 2
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 1
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	Sport TV2
South-america	ESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America
Spain	beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network, Tubi TV
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
World	Disney+


	América de Cali		Corinthians

	1	X	2
	2.2	3	3.7	Watch
	2.3	2.95	3.4
	2.25	2.95	3.5	Watch
	2.25	3.02	3.64	Watch
	2.2	2.9	3.4	Watch
	2.3	2.99	3.54	Watch
	2.25	2.95	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.87)	2.97 ↓ (3.05)	3.53 ↑ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Network on TV: beIN SPORTS 3

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Current Win Probability

América de Cali
41.7%

Draw
31.7%

Corinthians
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

30.8%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

31.5%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

América de Cali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in América de Cali's performance.

Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Corinthians might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for América de Cali than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with América de Cali that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Corinthians could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	14.3%	19%

América de Cali - Corinthians Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. América de Cali will win (votes: 14 - 66.7%). Corinthians will win (votes: 4 - 19%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for América de Cali: 46.5% – 86.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Corinthians (2.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - América de Cali (2.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC, 1st Half - América de Cali (1.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Corinthians (2.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): América de Cali will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. América de Cali (votes: 9 - 75%). Corinthians (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Soto J. (G) 24. Pestana J. 14. Mina D. 23. Medina B. 92. Candelo Y. 3. Balanta E. 15. Carrascal R. 11. Vergara D. 8. Quintero J. 7. Barrios C. 9. Ramos L.	32. Matheus Donelli (G) 2. Matheuzinho 3. Torres F. 5. Andre Ramalho 21. Matheus Bidu 37. Ryan 70. Martinez J. 7. Maycon 11. Angel Romero 22. Hernandez H. 43. Talles Magno
Substitutes
31. Bertel O. 29. Cavadia J. 16. Gomez P. 32. Leys F. 17. Lucumi J. 26. Mena Perea E. 30. Micolta Piedahita J. 4. Mosquera A. 21. Navarro S. 19. Paz L. 27. Silva S. (G) 6. Tovar C.	80. Alex Santana 27. Breno Bidon 25. Caca 19. Carrillo A. 35. Charles Rigon 40. Felipe Longo (G) 46. Hugo 47. Joao Pedro 31. Kayke 33. Leo Mana 14. Raniele 9. Yuri Alberto
Coaches
da Silva J.	Diaz R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Ramos L. ⚽, Balanta E. (A),
31', Carrascal R. 🟨,
31', Martinez J. 🟨,
36', Balanta E. 🟨,
45+2', Matheuzinho 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', Torres F. 🟨,
56', Balanta E. ↓, Leys F. ↑,
59', Pestana J. 🟨,
62', Talles Magno ↓, Yuri Alberto ↑,
62', Maycon ↓, Breno Bidon ↑,
62', Martinez J. ↓, Carrillo A. ↑,
76', Andre Ramalho ↓, Caca ↑,
77', Ryan ↓, Alex Santana ↑,
79', Vergara D. ↓, Cavadia J. ↑,
81', 1 - 1, Matheuzinho ⚽, Hernandez H. (A),
83', Cavadia J. 🟨,
86', Leys F. ↓, Lucumi J. ↑,

Preview

América de Cali is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Corinthians is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

América de Cali will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Corinthians - the odds 2.57 are the expected chance of winning is 36.5%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- América de Cali
Colombian Primera A
05.04.25	Once Caldas - América de Cali	3:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
02.04.25	Racing Montevideo - América de Cali	1:3 ✺
Colombian Primera A
30.03.25	América de Cali - Fortaleza CEIF	1:0 ✺
27.03.25	América de Cali - Boyacá Chicó	3:0 ✺
24.03.25	Deportivo Cali - América de Cali	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWWWT
- Corinthians
Brazilian Serie A
05.04.25	Corinthians - Vasco da Gama	3:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
02.04.25	Corinthians - Huracán Buenos Aires	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
30.03.25	Bahia - Corinthians	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
27.03.25	Corinthians - Palmeiras	0:0 ✺
16.03.25	Palmeiras - Corinthians	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WLTTW

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