Match Info

Jupiler Pro League - Championship Group - Round 35

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Lotto Park (Anderlecht)

Referee: Vergoote J. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN Pro League 1, Sporza, Sporza
Bolivia	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
Ecuador	DAZN
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Paraguay	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN / App
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Uruguay	DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA
Venezuela	DAZN


	Anderlecht		Saint-Gilloise

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.4	1.73	Watch
	4.65	3.5	1.78
	4.71	3.6	1.85
	4.46	3.66	1.8
	4.5	3.3	1.75
	4.71	3.79	1.75	Watch
	3.6	3.45	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.48 ↑ (3.61)	3.53 ↑ (3.51)	1.81 ↓ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Anderlecht
21.1%

Draw
26.8%

Saint-Gilloise
52.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.4%

27.2%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.4%

26.2%

48.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Anderlecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Anderlecht's form might have worsened.

Saint-Gilloise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Saint-Gilloise's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anderlecht than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Gilloise than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	10%	70%

Anderlecht - Saint Gilloise Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Anderlecht will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Union SG will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Union SG: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Coosemans C. (C) 7. Camara I. 54. Sardella K. 93. Diarra M. 79. Maamar A. 13. Saliba N. 55. Kana M. 9. Cvetkovic M. 10. Verschaeren Y. 83. Degreef T. 11. Hazard T.	37. Scherpen K. (G) 5. Mac Allister K. 16. Burgess C. (C) 26. Sykes R. 25. Khalaili A. 8. Zorgane A. 6. Van De Perre K. 11. Guilherme Smith 30. Florucz R. 10. Ait El Hadj A. 13. Rodriguez K.
Substitutes
4. Angely M. 6. Augustinsson L. 91. Bertaccini A. 77. da Costa C. 32. Heekeren J. (G) 3. Hey L. 99. Kanate I. 61. Nga K. 23. Rits M. 78. Tajaouart A.	1. Chambaere V. (G) 7. Fuseini M. 20. Giger M. 48. Leysen F. 22. Niang O. 27. Patris L. 14. Pavlic I. 17. Schoofs R. 29. Sylla M.
Coaches
Taravel J.	Hubert D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
17', 0 - 1, Zorgane A. ⚽, Khalaili A. (A),
19', Sykes R. 🟨,
25', 0 - 2, Zorgane A. ⚽, Ait El Hadj A. (A),
32', 1 - 2, Cvetkovic M. ⚽, Maamar A. (A),
42', Cvetkovic M. 🟨,
45+6', Rodriguez K. 🟨,
45+7', Sardella K. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Camara I. ↓, Hey L. ↑,
61', Cvetkovic M. ↓, Bertaccini A. ↑,
65', 1 - 3, Guilherme Smith ⚽,
66', Florucz R. ↓, Niang O. ↑,
68', Mac Allister K. 🟨,
70', Verschaeren Y. ↓, Kanate I. ↑,
76', Khalaili A. ↓, Patris L. ↑,
76', Zorgane A. ↓, Schoofs R. ↑,
81', Guilherme Smith ↓, Pavlic I. ↑,
81', Rodriguez K. ↓, Fuseini M. ↑,
81', Saliba N. ↓, Nga K. ↑,
81', Diarra M. ↓, Angely M. ↑,
90+2', Taravel J. 🟨,
90+3', Kanate I. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Anderlecht won 1.

Anderlecht has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Union SG is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Union SG may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Union SG is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Anderlecht: De Cat N. (Injury) Huerta Valera C. S. (Groin Injury) Sikan D. (Muscle Injury) Stroeykens M. (Injury)

There will not play in Union SG: David P. (Surgery) Leysen F. (Inactive)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Anderlecht won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 15:31. (average 0.8:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Anderlecht won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:17. (average 0.8:1.9).

Outrights of Belgian Jupiler Pro League for now

Royale Union SG: 24.47% Anderlecht: 4.86%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Royale Union SG	7	6	1	0	21:3	18	19
5	Anderlecht	8	5	1	2	9:6	3	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Anderlecht
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
23.04.26	Sint-Truidense - Anderlecht	2:0 ✺
18.04.26	KV Mechelen - Anderlecht	1:2 ✺
12.04.26	Anderlecht - Gent	3:1 ✺
06.04.26	Club Brugge - Anderlecht	4:2 ✺
22.03.26	Anderlecht - Cercle Brugge	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWWLL
- Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
22.04.26	Saint-Gilloise - Gent	0:0 ✺
19.04.26	Saint-Gilloise - Club Brugge	2:1 ✺
12.04.26	KV Mechelen - Saint-Gilloise	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	Saint-Gilloise - Sint-Truidense	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Sint-Truidense - Saint-Gilloise	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
30.11.25	Anderlecht - Saint-Gilloise	1:0
31.08.25	Saint-Gilloise - Anderlecht	2:0
10.05.25	Anderlecht - Saint-Gilloise	0:1
12.04.25	Saint-Gilloise - Anderlecht	2:0
23.02.25	Anderlecht - Saint-Gilloise	0:2
01.09.24	Saint-Gilloise - Anderlecht	0:0
05.05.24	Saint-Gilloise - Anderlecht	0:0

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