Match Info

LaLiga - Round 18

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero (Elche)

Referee: Diaz I. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	SuperSport 3
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 3
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Bangladesh	Begin
Belarus	Belarus 5
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	Disney+, ESPN 3
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 3
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Europe	Go3 Sport 3 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
Georgia	Silk Sport 1, Silk Universal
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3, ART Sport 4
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Voyo
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
Spain	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Tanzania	ZBC 2 Tanzania
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	beIN Sports 5, S Sport, S Sport+
United-kingdom	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	K+, SCTV 15


	Elche		Villarreal

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.4	2.1	Watch
	3.35	3.45	2.18	Watch
	3.39	3.7	2.13
	3.44	3.53	2.11	Watch
	3.3	3.3	2.15
	3.54	3.56	2.22	Watch
	3.4	3.5	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.42 ↑ (3.31)	3.49 ↓ (3.55)	2.14 (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Elche
28%

Draw
27.4%

Villarreal
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.7%

26.8%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

26.9%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Villarreal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elche than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20.8%	16.7%	62.5%

Elche - Villarreal Predictions

Users Predictions: 48 users predict this event. Elche will win (votes: 10 - 20.8%). Villarreal will win (votes: 30 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Villarreal: 48.8% – 76.2%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Villarreal will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Pena I. (G) 23. Chust V. 22. Affengruber D. 6. Bigas P. (C) 15. Nunez A. 16. Neto M. 14. Febas A. 8. Aguado M. 11. Valera G. 20. Rodriguez A. 10. Mir R.	1. Luiz Junior (G) 15. Mourino S. 26. Navarro P. 4. Marin R. 24. Pedraza A. 19. Pepe N. 14. Comesana S. 10. Parejo D. (C) 20. Moleiro A. 22. Perez A. 9. Mikautadze G.
Substitutes
32. Boayar A. 4. Diaby B. 19. Diangana G. 1. Dituro M. (G) 18. Donald J. 45. Iturbe A. (G) 17. Josan 30. Mendoza R. 3. Pedrosa A. 21. Petrot L. 29. Piri 7. Santiago Y.	23. Cardona S. 38. Diatta A. 8. Foyth J. 40. Gaitan J. 32. Lopez H. 37. Macia C. 7. Moreno G. 21. Oluwaseyi T. 25. Tenas A. (G)
Coaches
Sarabia E.	Marcelino G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Moleiro A. ⚽, Mikautadze G. (A),
13', 0 - 2, Mikautadze G. ⚽, Pepe N. (A),
30', 1 - 2, Neto M. ⚽, Febas A. (A),
39', Perez A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', Valera G. 🟨,
61', Affengruber D. ↓, Diaby B. ↑,
67', Comesana S. 🟨,
67', Febas A. 🟨,
67', Bigas P. 🟨,
68', Perez A. ↓, Moreno G. ↑,
68', Pepe N. ↓, Cardona S. ↑,
71', Aguado M. ↓, Donald J. ↑,
75', Parejo D. ↓, Macia C. ↑,
75', Mikautadze G. ↓, Oluwaseyi T. ↑,
79', Nunez A. ↓, Josan ↑,
79', Mir R. ↓, Boayar A. ↑,
79', Neto M. ↓, Mendoza R. ↑,
80', Mourino S. ↓, Foyth J. ↑,
83', 1 - 3, Pedraza A. ⚽, Cardona S. (A),
88', Cardona S. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Elche won 2.

Elche is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Villarreal has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Villarreal will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Elche: Fort H. (Shoulder Injury) Redondo Solari F. (Red Card)

There will not play in Villarreal: Akhomach I. (International duty) Buchanan T. (Yellow Cards) Cabanes P. (Knee Injury) Costa L. (Knee Injury) Gueye P. (International duty) Veiga R. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Elche: Andre Silva (Injury) Donald J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Villarreal: Kambwala W. (Hamstring Injury) Partey T. (Injury)

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Elche won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:22. (average 1.2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Elche won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.4:1).

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Villarreal: 0.44% Elche: 0.2%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	13:12	1	8
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	11:17	-6	5

Last Results with these Odds

Elche - the odds 3.31 are the expected chance of winning is 28.74%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elche CF
Spanish LaLiga
21.12.25	Elche - Rayo Vallecano	4:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
16.12.25	Eibar - Elche	0:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
13.12.25	Mallorca - Elche	3:1 ✺
07.12.25	Elche - Girona	3:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.12.25	Quintanar del Rey - Elche	1:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWLWW
- Villarreal CF
Spanish LaLiga
21.12.25	Villarreal - Barcelona	0:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
17.12.25	Racing Santander - Villarreal	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
10.12.25	Villarreal - Copenhagen	2:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
06.12.25	Villarreal - Getafe	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.12.25	Antoniano - Villarreal	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
04.02.23	Elche - Villarreal	3:1
04.09.22	Villarreal - Elche	4:0
16.01.22	Elche - Villarreal	1:0
22.09.21	Villarreal - Elche	4:1
06.02.21	Elche - Villarreal	2:2
06.12.20	Villarreal - Elche	0:0
10.05.15	Villarreal - Elche	1:0

Upcoming Matches